Change in Quantitative EEG Theta Cordance as a Potential Predictor of Repetitive Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation Clinical Outcome in Major Depressive Disorder

Repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) has demonstrated efficacy in major depressive disorder (MDD), although clinical outcome is variable. Change in the resting-state quantitative electroencephalogram (qEEG), particularly in theta cordance early in the course of treatment, has been linked to antidepressant medication outcomes but has not been examined extensively in clinical rTMS. This study examined change in theta cordance over the first week of clinical rTMS and sought to identify a biomarker that would predict outcome at the end of 6 weeks of treatment. Clinically stable outpatients (n = 18) received nonblinded rTMS treatment administered to the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC). Treatment parameters (site, intensity, number of pulses) were adjusted on an ongoing basis guided by changes in symptom severity rating scale scores. qEEGs were recorded at pretreatment baseline and after 1 week of left DLPFC (L-DLPFC) rTMS using a 21-channel dry-electrode headset. Analyses examined the association between week 1 regional changes in theta band (4-8 Hz) cordance, and week 6 patient- and physician-rated outcomes. Theta cordance change in the central brain region predicted percent change in Inventory of Depressive Symptomology–Self-Report (IDS-SR) score, and improvement versus nonimprovement on the Clinical Global Impression–Improvement Inventory (CGI-I) (R2 = .38, P = .007; and Nagelkerke R2 = .78, P = .0001, respectively). The cordance biomarker remained significant when controlling for age, gender, and baseline severity. Treatment-emergent change in EEG theta cordance in the first week of rTMS may predict acute (6-week) treatment outcome in MDD. This oscillatory synchrony biomarker merits further study in independent samples.