Seawater temperature, Gambierdiscus spp. variability and incidence of ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia
In the context of global warming and climate change, ciguatera disease is put forward as an indicator of environmental disturbance. However, to validate this indicator, some unknown parameters such as the delay between environmental perturbation and outbreaks of ciguatera need to be investigated. Th...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Harmful algae 2005-11, Vol.4 (6), p.1053-1062 |
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| creator | Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine Chinain, Mireille Cerf, Nicole Gingras, Suzanne Hubert, Bruno Dewailly, Éric |
| description | In the context of global warming and climate change, ciguatera disease is put forward as an indicator of environmental disturbance. However, to validate this indicator, some unknown parameters such as the delay between environmental perturbation and outbreaks of ciguatera need to be investigated. The main goal of this study was to investigate the temporal link between the growth of
Gambierdiscus spp., and one of its influencing factors and the declared cases of ciguatera disease in humans. Algal cell density and seawater temperature (SWT) were recorded monthly from February 1993 to December 2001 on the Atimaono barrier reef of Tahiti Island. Reports of ciguatera cases were obtained from three community health clinics near the study sites. The autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) shows: (1) SWT were positively associated with
Gambierdiscus spp. growth at a lagtime of 13 and 17 months (
p
<
0.001); (2)
Gambierdiscus spp. growth measured at a given time is related to a peak number of cases of ciguatera recorded 3 months after peak densities of this dinoflagellate (
p
<
0.001). These results allow the construction of a predictive model of the temporal link between ciguatera disease in humans and its etiologic agent:
Gambierdiscus spp. This model constructed by using 1993–1999 data, then validated by 2000–2001 data, demonstrates an appreciable ability to predict changes in the incidence of ciguatera disease following algae blooms. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.hal.2005.03.003 |
| format | Article |
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Gambierdiscus spp., and one of its influencing factors and the declared cases of ciguatera disease in humans. Algal cell density and seawater temperature (SWT) were recorded monthly from February 1993 to December 2001 on the Atimaono barrier reef of Tahiti Island. Reports of ciguatera cases were obtained from three community health clinics near the study sites. The autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) shows: (1) SWT were positively associated with
Gambierdiscus spp. growth at a lagtime of 13 and 17 months (
p
<
0.001); (2)
Gambierdiscus spp. growth measured at a given time is related to a peak number of cases of ciguatera recorded 3 months after peak densities of this dinoflagellate (
p
<
0.001). These results allow the construction of a predictive model of the temporal link between ciguatera disease in humans and its etiologic agent:
Gambierdiscus spp. This model constructed by using 1993–1999 data, then validated by 2000–2001 data, demonstrates an appreciable ability to predict changes in the incidence of ciguatera disease following algae blooms.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1568-9883</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1878-1470</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.hal.2005.03.003</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Amsterdam: Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Algae ; Animal and plant ecology ; Animal, plant and microbial ecology ; ARIMA model ; Autoecology ; Biological and medical sciences ; Ciguatera ; Forecasting ; French Polynesia ; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology ; Gambierdiscus ; Gambierdiscus spp ; Marine ; Plant cytology, morphology, systematics, chorology and evolution ; Plants and fungi ; Prevention tools ; Thallophyta</subject><ispartof>Harmful algae, 2005-11, Vol.4 (6), p.1053-1062</ispartof><rights>2005 Elsevier B.V.</rights><rights>2006 INIST-CNRS</rights><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c424t-e7c42ee84f1ff4736905ac67b9bb9f554870e59f6075a9b86f2cc6e48366ba833</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c424t-e7c42ee84f1ff4736905ac67b9bb9f554870e59f6075a9b86f2cc6e48366ba833</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1568988305000429$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3537,27901,27902,65534</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=17238756$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chinain, Mireille</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cerf, Nicole</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gingras, Suzanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hubert, Bruno</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dewailly, Éric</creatorcontrib><title>Seawater temperature, Gambierdiscus spp. variability and incidence of ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia</title><title>Harmful algae</title><description>In the context of global warming and climate change, ciguatera disease is put forward as an indicator of environmental disturbance. However, to validate this indicator, some unknown parameters such as the delay between environmental perturbation and outbreaks of ciguatera need to be investigated. The main goal of this study was to investigate the temporal link between the growth of
Gambierdiscus spp., and one of its influencing factors and the declared cases of ciguatera disease in humans. Algal cell density and seawater temperature (SWT) were recorded monthly from February 1993 to December 2001 on the Atimaono barrier reef of Tahiti Island. Reports of ciguatera cases were obtained from three community health clinics near the study sites. The autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) shows: (1) SWT were positively associated with
Gambierdiscus spp. growth at a lagtime of 13 and 17 months (
p
<
0.001); (2)
Gambierdiscus spp. growth measured at a given time is related to a peak number of cases of ciguatera recorded 3 months after peak densities of this dinoflagellate (
p
<
0.001). These results allow the construction of a predictive model of the temporal link between ciguatera disease in humans and its etiologic agent:
Gambierdiscus spp. This model constructed by using 1993–1999 data, then validated by 2000–2001 data, demonstrates an appreciable ability to predict changes in the incidence of ciguatera disease following algae blooms.</description><subject>Algae</subject><subject>Animal and plant ecology</subject><subject>Animal, plant and microbial ecology</subject><subject>ARIMA model</subject><subject>Autoecology</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Ciguatera</subject><subject>Forecasting</subject><subject>French Polynesia</subject><subject>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</subject><subject>Gambierdiscus</subject><subject>Gambierdiscus spp</subject><subject>Marine</subject><subject>Plant cytology, morphology, systematics, chorology and evolution</subject><subject>Plants and fungi</subject><subject>Prevention tools</subject><subject>Thallophyta</subject><issn>1568-9883</issn><issn>1878-1470</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2005</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kEtv1TAQRiMEEqXwA9h5AysSxnH8iFihqg-kSiAV1tbEGbe-ygs7aXX_fR3dSuxYzSzO943mFMVHDhUHrr4eqgccqhpAViAqAPGqOONGm5I3Gl7nXSpTtsaIt8W7lA4ANQeAs2K8I3zClSJbaVwo4rpF-sKucewCxT4ktyWWlqVijxgDdmEI65Hh1LMwudDT5IjNnrlwv-0tyJY5pHkK030G2FXMwAP7NQ_HiVLA98Ubj0OiDy_zvPhzdfn74qa8_Xn94-L7bemaullL0nkSmcZz7xstVAsSndJd23Wtl7IxGki2XoGW2HZG-do5RY0RSnVohDgvPp96lzj_3Sitdsyf0DDgRPOWLG-lboRQGeQn0MU5pUjeLjGMGI-Wg93F2oPNYu0u1oKwWWzOfHopx-Rw8BGzifQvqGthtNy7v504yp8-Zps2ubAL60Mkt9p-Dv-58gwgb489</recordid><startdate>20051101</startdate><enddate>20051101</enddate><creator>Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine</creator><creator>Chinain, Mireille</creator><creator>Cerf, Nicole</creator><creator>Gingras, Suzanne</creator><creator>Hubert, Bruno</creator><creator>Dewailly, Éric</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><general>Elsevier</general><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7TN</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H95</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>M7N</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20051101</creationdate><title>Seawater temperature, Gambierdiscus spp. variability and incidence of ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia</title><author>Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine ; Chinain, Mireille ; Cerf, Nicole ; Gingras, Suzanne ; Hubert, Bruno ; Dewailly, Éric</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c424t-e7c42ee84f1ff4736905ac67b9bb9f554870e59f6075a9b86f2cc6e48366ba833</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2005</creationdate><topic>Algae</topic><topic>Animal and plant ecology</topic><topic>Animal, plant and microbial ecology</topic><topic>ARIMA model</topic><topic>Autoecology</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Ciguatera</topic><topic>Forecasting</topic><topic>French Polynesia</topic><topic>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</topic><topic>Gambierdiscus</topic><topic>Gambierdiscus spp</topic><topic>Marine</topic><topic>Plant cytology, morphology, systematics, chorology and evolution</topic><topic>Plants and fungi</topic><topic>Prevention tools</topic><topic>Thallophyta</topic><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chinain, Mireille</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cerf, Nicole</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gingras, Suzanne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hubert, Bruno</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dewailly, Éric</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Oceanic Abstracts</collection><collection>Toxicology Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 1: Biological Sciences & Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><jtitle>Harmful algae</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Chateau-Degat, Marie-Ludivine</au><au>Chinain, Mireille</au><au>Cerf, Nicole</au><au>Gingras, Suzanne</au><au>Hubert, Bruno</au><au>Dewailly, Éric</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Seawater temperature, Gambierdiscus spp. variability and incidence of ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia</atitle><jtitle>Harmful algae</jtitle><date>2005-11-01</date><risdate>2005</risdate><volume>4</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>1053</spage><epage>1062</epage><pages>1053-1062</pages><issn>1568-9883</issn><eissn>1878-1470</eissn><abstract>In the context of global warming and climate change, ciguatera disease is put forward as an indicator of environmental disturbance. However, to validate this indicator, some unknown parameters such as the delay between environmental perturbation and outbreaks of ciguatera need to be investigated. The main goal of this study was to investigate the temporal link between the growth of
Gambierdiscus spp., and one of its influencing factors and the declared cases of ciguatera disease in humans. Algal cell density and seawater temperature (SWT) were recorded monthly from February 1993 to December 2001 on the Atimaono barrier reef of Tahiti Island. Reports of ciguatera cases were obtained from three community health clinics near the study sites. The autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) shows: (1) SWT were positively associated with
Gambierdiscus spp. growth at a lagtime of 13 and 17 months (
p
<
0.001); (2)
Gambierdiscus spp. growth measured at a given time is related to a peak number of cases of ciguatera recorded 3 months after peak densities of this dinoflagellate (
p
<
0.001). These results allow the construction of a predictive model of the temporal link between ciguatera disease in humans and its etiologic agent:
Gambierdiscus spp. This model constructed by using 1993–1999 data, then validated by 2000–2001 data, demonstrates an appreciable ability to predict changes in the incidence of ciguatera disease following algae blooms.</abstract><cop>Amsterdam</cop><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><doi>10.1016/j.hal.2005.03.003</doi><tpages>10</tpages></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Algae Animal and plant ecology Animal, plant and microbial ecology ARIMA model Autoecology Biological and medical sciences Ciguatera Forecasting French Polynesia Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology Gambierdiscus Gambierdiscus spp Marine Plant cytology, morphology, systematics, chorology and evolution Plants and fungi Prevention tools Thallophyta |
| title | Seawater temperature, Gambierdiscus spp. variability and incidence of ciguatera poisoning in French Polynesia |
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