The Influence of Storm Size on Hurricane Surge
Over the last quarter-century, hurricane surge has been assumed to be primarily a function of maximum storm wind speed, as might be estimated from the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale. However, Hurricane Katrina demonstrated that wind speed alone cannot reliably describe surge. Herein it is shown that...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of physical oceanography 2008-09, Vol.38 (9), p.2003-2013 |
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creator | IRISH, Jennifer L RESIO, Donald T RATCLIFF, Jay J |
description | Over the last quarter-century, hurricane surge has been assumed to be primarily a function of maximum storm wind speed, as might be estimated from the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale. However, Hurricane Katrina demonstrated that wind speed alone cannot reliably describe surge. Herein it is shown that storm size plays an important role in surge generation, particularly for very intense storms making landfall in mildly sloping regions. Prior to Hurricane Katrina, analysis of the historical hurricane record evidenced no clear correlation between surge and storm size, and consequently little attention was given to the role of size in surge generation. In contrast, it is found herein that, for a given intensity, surge varies by as much as 30% over a reasonable range of storm sizes. These findings demonstrate that storm size must be considered when estimating surge, particularly when predicting socioeconomic and flood risk. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1175/2008jpo3727.1 |
format | Article |
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However, Hurricane Katrina demonstrated that wind speed alone cannot reliably describe surge. Herein it is shown that storm size plays an important role in surge generation, particularly for very intense storms making landfall in mildly sloping regions. Prior to Hurricane Katrina, analysis of the historical hurricane record evidenced no clear correlation between surge and storm size, and consequently little attention was given to the role of size in surge generation. In contrast, it is found herein that, for a given intensity, surge varies by as much as 30% over a reasonable range of storm sizes. These findings demonstrate that storm size must be considered when estimating surge, particularly when predicting socioeconomic and flood risk.</abstract><cop>Boston, MA</cop><pub>American Meteorological Society</pub><doi>10.1175/2008jpo3727.1</doi><tpages>11</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Armed forces Coastal oceanography, estuaries. Regional oceanography Earth sciences Earth, ocean, space Engineering and environment geology. Geothermics Environmental risk Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Hurricanes Marine Meteorology Natural hazards: prediction, damages, etc Physics of the oceans Storm damage Storms Storms, hurricanes, tornadoes, thunderstorms Studies Wind speed |
title | The Influence of Storm Size on Hurricane Surge |
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