An estimation method of the average effect and the different accident risks when modelling a road safety measure: A simulation study

The combination of road accident frequencies before and after a similar change at a given number of sites are considered. Each target site includes different accident types and is linked to a specific control area. At any one target site it is assumed that the total number of accidents recorded is m...

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Veröffentlicht in:Computational statistics & data analysis 2006-11, Vol.51 (2), p.1260-1277
Hauptverfasser: N’Guessan, Assi, Essai, Azeddine, N’Zi, Modeste
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container_title Computational statistics & data analysis
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creator N’Guessan, Assi
Essai, Azeddine
N’Zi, Modeste
description The combination of road accident frequencies before and after a similar change at a given number of sites are considered. Each target site includes different accident types and is linked to a specific control area. At any one target site it is assumed that the total number of accidents recorded is multinomially distributed between the before period and the after period and also between several mutually exclusive types. The parameter of the distribution depends on the different accident risks in the control area linked to each site as well as on the average effect of the change. A method of estimating simultaneously the average effect and the accident risks in control areas is suggested. Some simulated accidents data allow us to study the existence and consistence of the linear constrained estimator of the unknown vector parameter.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.csda.2005.09.002
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identifier ISSN: 0167-9473
ispartof Computational statistics & data analysis, 2006-11, Vol.51 (2), p.1260-1277
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source RePEc; Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete
subjects Accident data
Accident risk
Before–after estimation
Constrained maximum likelihood
Distribution theory
Exact sciences and technology
General topics
Mathematics
Mean square error
Multinomial model
Multivariate analysis
Numerical analysis
Numerical analysis. Scientific computation
Numerical methods in probability and statistics
Probability and statistics
Probability theory and stochastic processes
Road safety measure
Sciences and techniques of general use
Simulation
Statistics
title An estimation method of the average effect and the different accident risks when modelling a road safety measure: A simulation study
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