Decision of surgical approach for advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma based on a Bayesian network

Background and Objectives To determine whether radical resection can benefit patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma using a Bayesian network (BN) with clinical data. Methods In total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute w...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of surgical oncology 2017-12, Vol.116 (8), p.1123-1131
Hauptverfasser: Cong, Long‐Long, Cai, Zhi‐Qiang, Guo, Peng, Chen, Chen, Liu, De‐Chun, Li, Wen‐Zhi, Wang, Lin, Zhao, Yaling, Si, Shu‐Bin, Geng, Zhi‐Min
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container_end_page 1131
container_issue 8
container_start_page 1123
container_title Journal of surgical oncology
container_volume 116
creator Cong, Long‐Long
Cai, Zhi‐Qiang
Guo, Peng
Chen, Chen
Liu, De‐Chun
Li, Wen‐Zhi
Wang, Lin
Zhao, Yaling
Si, Shu‐Bin
Geng, Zhi‐Min
description Background and Objectives To determine whether radical resection can benefit patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma using a Bayesian network (BN) with clinical data. Methods In total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute were evaluated to establish two BN models using a tree‐augmented naïve Bayes algorithm. We then chose 250 patients with T3‐4N0‐2M0 stage gallbladder adenocarcinoma to test the posterior probability after the surgical type was taken into account. Results In total, 170 patients (≤7 months) and 137 patients (>7 months) were correctly classified in the median survival time model (accuracy, 84.81%), and 204 patients (≤12 months), 15 patients (12‐36 months), 17 patients (36‐60 months), and 34 patients (>60 months) were correctly classified in the 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year survival model (accuracy, 74.59%), respectively. Every posterior probability in the two models upregulated the ratio of the longer survival time and suggested a better prognosis for gallbladder adenocarcinoma that can be improved by R0 resection. Conclusions These BN models indicate that stages T4 and N2 gallbladder adenocarcinoma are not contraindications for surgery and that R0 resection can improve survival in patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma.
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Methods In total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute were evaluated to establish two BN models using a tree‐augmented naïve Bayes algorithm. We then chose 250 patients with T3‐4N0‐2M0 stage gallbladder adenocarcinoma to test the posterior probability after the surgical type was taken into account. Results In total, 170 patients (≤7 months) and 137 patients (&gt;7 months) were correctly classified in the median survival time model (accuracy, 84.81%), and 204 patients (≤12 months), 15 patients (12‐36 months), 17 patients (36‐60 months), and 34 patients (&gt;60 months) were correctly classified in the 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year survival model (accuracy, 74.59%), respectively. Every posterior probability in the two models upregulated the ratio of the longer survival time and suggested a better prognosis for gallbladder adenocarcinoma that can be improved by R0 resection. Conclusions These BN models indicate that stages T4 and N2 gallbladder adenocarcinoma are not contraindications for surgery and that R0 resection can improve survival in patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0022-4790</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1096-9098</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/jso.24797</identifier><identifier>PMID: 28876457</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Adenocarcinoma - mortality ; Adenocarcinoma - pathology ; Adenocarcinoma - surgery ; Aged ; Bayes Theorem ; Bayesian analysis ; Bayesian network model ; Cancer surgery ; Digestive System Surgical Procedures - methods ; Female ; Gallbladder ; gallbladder adenocarcinoma ; Gallbladder cancer ; Gallbladder Neoplasms - mortality ; Gallbladder Neoplasms - pathology ; Gallbladder Neoplasms - surgery ; Humans ; Male ; Medical prognosis ; Neoplasm Staging ; predictive model ; Probability ; surgery ; TNM stage</subject><ispartof>Journal of surgical oncology, 2017-12, Vol.116 (8), p.1123-1131</ispartof><rights>2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3537-a0b2017f221f772d720c470e56d59df29e8b3e3d48083c2e61f48347883dcbc53</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3537-a0b2017f221f772d720c470e56d59df29e8b3e3d48083c2e61f48347883dcbc53</cites><orcidid>0000-0003-2645-9808</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1002%2Fjso.24797$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002%2Fjso.24797$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1416,27923,27924,45573,45574</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/28876457$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Cong, Long‐Long</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cai, Zhi‐Qiang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Guo, Peng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Chen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, De‐Chun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Li, Wen‐Zhi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Lin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhao, Yaling</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Si, Shu‐Bin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Geng, Zhi‐Min</creatorcontrib><title>Decision of surgical approach for advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma based on a Bayesian network</title><title>Journal of surgical oncology</title><addtitle>J Surg Oncol</addtitle><description>Background and Objectives To determine whether radical resection can benefit patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma using a Bayesian network (BN) with clinical data. Methods In total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute were evaluated to establish two BN models using a tree‐augmented naïve Bayes algorithm. We then chose 250 patients with T3‐4N0‐2M0 stage gallbladder adenocarcinoma to test the posterior probability after the surgical type was taken into account. Results In total, 170 patients (≤7 months) and 137 patients (&gt;7 months) were correctly classified in the median survival time model (accuracy, 84.81%), and 204 patients (≤12 months), 15 patients (12‐36 months), 17 patients (36‐60 months), and 34 patients (&gt;60 months) were correctly classified in the 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year survival model (accuracy, 74.59%), respectively. Every posterior probability in the two models upregulated the ratio of the longer survival time and suggested a better prognosis for gallbladder adenocarcinoma that can be improved by R0 resection. 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Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Journal of surgical oncology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Cong, Long‐Long</au><au>Cai, Zhi‐Qiang</au><au>Guo, Peng</au><au>Chen, Chen</au><au>Liu, De‐Chun</au><au>Li, Wen‐Zhi</au><au>Wang, Lin</au><au>Zhao, Yaling</au><au>Si, Shu‐Bin</au><au>Geng, Zhi‐Min</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Decision of surgical approach for advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma based on a Bayesian network</atitle><jtitle>Journal of surgical oncology</jtitle><addtitle>J Surg Oncol</addtitle><date>2017-12-15</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>116</volume><issue>8</issue><spage>1123</spage><epage>1131</epage><pages>1123-1131</pages><issn>0022-4790</issn><eissn>1096-9098</eissn><abstract>Background and Objectives To determine whether radical resection can benefit patients with advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma using a Bayesian network (BN) with clinical data. Methods In total, 362 patients who had undergone surgical treatment of gallbladder adenocarcinoma at a tertiary institute were evaluated to establish two BN models using a tree‐augmented naïve Bayes algorithm. We then chose 250 patients with T3‐4N0‐2M0 stage gallbladder adenocarcinoma to test the posterior probability after the surgical type was taken into account. Results In total, 170 patients (≤7 months) and 137 patients (&gt;7 months) were correctly classified in the median survival time model (accuracy, 84.81%), and 204 patients (≤12 months), 15 patients (12‐36 months), 17 patients (36‐60 months), and 34 patients (&gt;60 months) were correctly classified in the 1‐, 3‐, and 5‐year survival model (accuracy, 74.59%), respectively. Every posterior probability in the two models upregulated the ratio of the longer survival time and suggested a better prognosis for gallbladder adenocarcinoma that can be improved by R0 resection. 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subjects Adenocarcinoma - mortality
Adenocarcinoma - pathology
Adenocarcinoma - surgery
Aged
Bayes Theorem
Bayesian analysis
Bayesian network model
Cancer surgery
Digestive System Surgical Procedures - methods
Female
Gallbladder
gallbladder adenocarcinoma
Gallbladder cancer
Gallbladder Neoplasms - mortality
Gallbladder Neoplasms - pathology
Gallbladder Neoplasms - surgery
Humans
Male
Medical prognosis
Neoplasm Staging
predictive model
Probability
surgery
TNM stage
title Decision of surgical approach for advanced gallbladder adenocarcinoma based on a Bayesian network
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