Realistic levels of inbreeding depression strongly affect extinction risk in wild populations

The role of inbreeding depression in the extinction of wild populations is controversial, largely because there are no quantitative estimates of its impact using realistic levels of inbreeding depression. To address this deficiency, this study (1) provides a comprehensive estimate of the impact of i...

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Veröffentlicht in:Biological conservation 2006-11, Vol.133 (1), p.42-51
Hauptverfasser: O’Grady, Julian J., Brook, Barry W., Reed, David H., Ballou, Jonathan D., Tonkyn, David W., Frankham, Richard
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container_end_page 51
container_issue 1
container_start_page 42
container_title Biological conservation
container_volume 133
creator O’Grady, Julian J.
Brook, Barry W.
Reed, David H.
Ballou, Jonathan D.
Tonkyn, David W.
Frankham, Richard
description The role of inbreeding depression in the extinction of wild populations is controversial, largely because there are no quantitative estimates of its impact using realistic levels of inbreeding depression. To address this deficiency, this study (1) provides a comprehensive estimate of the impact of inbreeding depression on wild, mammalian and avian species via a meta-analysis, and (2) determines the impact of this level of inbreeding depression on extinction risk over a broad taxonomic range via stochastic computer projections with and without inbreeding depression for populations with carrying capacities of 100, 500 and 2000 individuals. An average overall effect of 12 diploid lethal equivalents was found across the life-history of the species in the meta-analysis. In the stochastic computer projections, 12 diploid lethal equivalents of inbreeding depression (with purging) decreased median times to extinction by an average of 37%. These decreases were significant and of very similar magnitude, regardless of the carrying capacity modelled. Disregarding the influence of inbreeding depression on extinction risk will lead to serious overestimates of the survival prospects of threatened mammalian and avian taxa. Further, inappropriate recovery plans may be instituted if the causes of extinction risk and their relative contributions are not recognized.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.biocon.2006.05.016
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subjects Animal, plant and microbial ecology
Applied ecology
Biological and medical sciences
Birds
Conservation, protection and management of environment and wildlife
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
Genetic stochasticity
Lethal equivalents
Mammalia
Mammals
Parks, reserves, wildlife conservation. Endangered species: population survey and restocking
Population viability analysis
Vertebrates: general zoology, morphology, phylogeny, systematics, cytogenetics, geographical distribution
title Realistic levels of inbreeding depression strongly affect extinction risk in wild populations
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