Analog Ensemble Forecasts of Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Australian Region
Tropical cyclone tracks in the Australian basin are predicted by an analog ensemble forecast model. It is self-adapting in its search of optimal ensemble members from historic cyclone tracks by creating a metric that minimizes the error of the ensemble mean forecast. When compared with the climatolo...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Weather and forecasting 2003-02, Vol.18 (1), p.3-11 |
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| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
| Format: | Artikel |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
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