Near-Field Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Metropolitan Tehran Using Region-Specific Directivity Models

Ground motions are affected by directivity effects at near-fault regions which result in low-frequency cycle pulses at the beginning of the velocity time history. The directivity features of near-fault ground motions can lead to significant increase in the risk of earthquake-induced damage on engine...

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Veröffentlicht in:Pure and applied geophysics 2017, Vol.174 (1), p.117-132
Hauptverfasser: Yazdani, Azad, Nicknam, Ahmad, Dadras, Ehsan Yousefi, Eftekhari, Seyed Nasrollah
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container_title Pure and applied geophysics
container_volume 174
creator Yazdani, Azad
Nicknam, Ahmad
Dadras, Ehsan Yousefi
Eftekhari, Seyed Nasrollah
description Ground motions are affected by directivity effects at near-fault regions which result in low-frequency cycle pulses at the beginning of the velocity time history. The directivity features of near-fault ground motions can lead to significant increase in the risk of earthquake-induced damage on engineering structures. The ordinary probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) does not take into account such effects; recent studies have thus proposed new frameworks to incorporate directivity effects in PSHA. The objective of this study is to develop the seismic hazard mapping of Tehran City according to near-fault PSHA procedure for different return periods. To this end, the directivity models required in the modified PSHA were developed based on a database of the simulated ground motions. The simulated database was used in this study because there are no recorded near-fault data in the region to derive purely empirically based pulse prediction models. The results show that the directivity effects can significantly affect the estimate of regional seismic hazard.
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subjects Computer simulation
Directivity
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Earthquake damage
Earthquake engineering
Earthquakes
Environmental risk
Fault lines
Geophysics/Geodesy
Ground motion
Plate tectonics
Prediction models
Probabilistic methods
Probability
Probability theory
Risk assessment
Seismic activity
Seismic hazard
Seismology
title Near-Field Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis of Metropolitan Tehran Using Region-Specific Directivity Models
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