Can Anyone Stop the President? Power Asymmetries and Term Limits in Latin America, 1984-2016
Since the late twentieth century, numerous Latin American nations have launched efforts to relax presidential term limits, often successfully. This article discusses the conditions under which countries succeed in relaxing term limits. Drawing from bargaining models and reviewing 36 cases, it makes...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Latin American politics and society 2016-06, Vol.58 (2), p.3-25 |
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description | Since the late twentieth century, numerous Latin American nations have launched efforts to relax presidential term limits, often successfully. This article discusses the conditions under which countries succeed in relaxing term limits. Drawing from bargaining models and reviewing 36 cases, it makes three arguments. First, actors' preferences are fairly predictable on the basis of officeholding: presidents are the most prominent actors pushing for expansion of term limits; opposition parties lead the resistance. Second, power asymmetry, measured by presidential approval ratings, is the best predictor of success, better than ideology or share of seats in Congress. Third, the only hope for stopping popular presidents rests with ruling parties and the courts, but only when the latter are sufficiently independent. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1548-2456.2016.00308.x |
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Power Asymmetries and Term Limits in Latin America, 1984-2016</atitle><jtitle>Latin American politics and society</jtitle><addtitle>Latin American Politics and Society</addtitle><date>2016-06-01</date><risdate>2016</risdate><volume>58</volume><issue>2</issue><spage>3</spage><epage>25</epage><pages>3-25</pages><issn>1531-426X</issn><eissn>1548-2456</eissn><abstract>Since the late twentieth century, numerous Latin American nations have launched efforts to relax presidential term limits, often successfully. This article discusses the conditions under which countries succeed in relaxing term limits. Drawing from bargaining models and reviewing 36 cases, it makes three arguments. First, actors' preferences are fairly predictable on the basis of officeholding: presidents are the most prominent actors pushing for expansion of term limits; opposition parties lead the resistance. Second, power asymmetry, measured by presidential approval ratings, is the best predictor of success, better than ideology or share of seats in Congress. Third, the only hope for stopping popular presidents rests with ruling parties and the courts, but only when the latter are sufficiently independent.</abstract><cop>Coral Gables</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/j.1548-2456.2016.00308.x</doi><tpages>23</tpages></addata></record> |
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subjects | 20th century Courts Democracy Heads of state Incumbents Latin American politics Legislatures Limitations Opposition parties Political campaigns Political ideologies Political opposition Political parties Political power Power Presidential approval Presidential powers Presidents Referendums Resistance Self dealing Term limitations Term of office |
title | Can Anyone Stop the President? Power Asymmetries and Term Limits in Latin America, 1984-2016 |
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