Research Note: Using Demand Determinants to Anticipate Fluctuations in Hotel Occupancy

A logistic regression model is used to identify the determinants that influence periods of expanding and contracting occupancy growth rates for various hotel categories in Hong Kong. Tourist incomes are found to impact in different ways, depending on the category of hotel. The cycles of income growt...

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Veröffentlicht in:Tourism economics : the business and finance of tourism and recreation 2016-02, Vol.22 (1), p.179-187
Hauptverfasser: Fung, Mei Candy, Fung, Mei Tang, Kulendran, Nada, King, Brian, Yap, Matthew H.T.
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container_end_page 187
container_issue 1
container_start_page 179
container_title Tourism economics : the business and finance of tourism and recreation
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creator Fung, Mei Candy
Fung, Mei Tang
Kulendran, Nada
King, Brian
Yap, Matthew H.T.
description A logistic regression model is used to identify the determinants that influence periods of expanding and contracting occupancy growth rates for various hotel categories in Hong Kong. Tourist incomes are found to impact in different ways, depending on the category of hotel. The cycles of income growth in tourist origin countries have a greater impact on high tariff B and medium tariff hotels than on more expensive high tariff A hotels. In examining the applicability of real and nominal exchange rates to tourist hotel selections, it is found that nominal exchange rates are significant only in the case of high tariff A hotels, with a marginal probability of 0.76%. This implies that a 1% exchange rate appreciation in the tourist origin country will increase the expansion period by 0.76% in the case of high tariff A hotels.
doi_str_mv 10.5367/te.2014.0421
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2044-0375
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source Sage Journals
subjects Demand
Exchange rates
Foreign exchange rates
Growth models
Hong Kong
Hotels
Hotels & motels
Studies
Tariffs
Tourism
Tourists
title Research Note: Using Demand Determinants to Anticipate Fluctuations in Hotel Occupancy
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