If You're So Smart: John Maynard Keynes and Currency Speculation in the Interwar Years

This article explores the risks and returns to currency speculation during the 1920s and 1930s. We study the performance of two well-known technical trading strategies (carry and momentum) and compare them with that of a fundamentals-based trader: John Maynard Keynes. Technical strategies were highl...

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Veröffentlicht in:	The Journal of economic history 2016-06, Vol.76 (2), p.342-386
Hauptverfasser:	Accominotti, Olivier, Chambers, David
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	American dollar Currency Currency transactions Economic history Efficient markets Floating exchange rates Foreign exchange markets Foreign exchange rates Forward exchange Gambling Hypotheses Interest rates Interwar period Investment policy Macroeconomics Profitability Profits Purchasing power parity Speculation Studies Volatility
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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