Evaluating Tropical Cyclone Forecasts from the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecasting System (GEFS) Reforecast Version 2

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecasting System (GEFS) Reforecast version 2 (1985–2012) were evaluated from the climate perspective, with a focus on tropical cyclogenesis. Although the GEFS captures the climatological seasonality of tropical cyclogenesis over differe...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Weather and forecasting 2016-06, Vol.31 (3), p.895-916
Hauptverfasser:	Li, Weiwei, Wang, Zhuo, Peng, Melinda S
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Annual variations Basins Climate Climatology Cyclogenesis Cyclones Easterly waves El Nino El Nino phenomena El Nino-Southern Oscillation event Ensemble forecasting Forecasting Gravitational waves Hurricanes Interannual variability Islands Laboratories Madden-Julian oscillation Marine Monsoon trough Monsoons Ocean basins Physics Predictions Remote sensing systems Seasonal variations Seasonality Southern Oscillation Tropical climate Tropical cyclogenesis Tropical cyclones Variability Weather forecasting
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