Predicting 30-day postoperative mortality for emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database

Purpose Anterior abdominal wall hernias are among the most commonly encountered surgical disease. We sought to identify risk factors that are associated with 30-day postoperative mortality following emergent abdominal wall hernia repair using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Qualit...

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Veröffentlicht in:Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery 2017-06, Vol.21 (3), p.323-333
Hauptverfasser: Chung, P. J., Lee, J. S., Tam, S., Schwartzman, A., Bernstein, M. O., Dresner, L., Alfonso, A., Sugiyama, G.
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container_issue 3
container_start_page 323
container_title Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery
container_volume 21
creator Chung, P. J.
Lee, J. S.
Tam, S.
Schwartzman, A.
Bernstein, M. O.
Dresner, L.
Alfonso, A.
Sugiyama, G.
description Purpose Anterior abdominal wall hernias are among the most commonly encountered surgical disease. We sought to identify risk factors that are associated with 30-day postoperative mortality following emergent abdominal wall hernia repair using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database. Methods A retrospective analysis of data from the ACS NSQIP from 2005 to 2010 was performed. Patients were selected using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) and International Classification of Disease 9 Clinical Modification (ICD9) codes for the repair of inguinal, femoral, umbilical, epigastric, ventral, or incisional hernias that were incarcerated, obstructed, strangulated, or gangrenous. Only emergent cases occurring within two days of admission and admitted as inpatients were included. Univariate and multivariable analysis was performed. A risk score was also created. Results There were 4298 cases of emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia surgery. The most common was inguinal (25.3 %), followed by incisional (23.8 %), umbilical (23.5 %), ventral (12.1 %), femoral (8.8 %), and epigastric (6.5 %) hernias. Multivariable analysis demonstrated six statistically significant predictors of short-term mortality, including history of congestive heart failure (CHF) [odds ratio (OR) 8.24, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 4.05–16.75), age (OR 5.52, 95 % CI 3.48–8.77), history of peripheral vascular disease (PVD) (OR 4.98, 95 % CI 2.08–11.92), presence of ascites (OR 3.16, 95 % CI 1.64–6.08), preoperative blood urea nitrogen (OR 1.35, 95 % CI 1.22–1.49), and preoperative white blood cell count (OR 1.22, 95 % CI 1.02–1.45). The C-statistic for the risk model was 0.858. Conclusion We present a large study on short-term mortality following emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs based on the ACS NSQIP with a derived risk model that demonstrates excellent discriminative ability.
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J. ; Lee, J. S. ; Tam, S. ; Schwartzman, A. ; Bernstein, M. O. ; Dresner, L. ; Alfonso, A. ; Sugiyama, G.</creator><creatorcontrib>Chung, P. J. ; Lee, J. S. ; Tam, S. ; Schwartzman, A. ; Bernstein, M. O. ; Dresner, L. ; Alfonso, A. ; Sugiyama, G.</creatorcontrib><description>Purpose Anterior abdominal wall hernias are among the most commonly encountered surgical disease. We sought to identify risk factors that are associated with 30-day postoperative mortality following emergent abdominal wall hernia repair using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database. Methods A retrospective analysis of data from the ACS NSQIP from 2005 to 2010 was performed. Patients were selected using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) and International Classification of Disease 9 Clinical Modification (ICD9) codes for the repair of inguinal, femoral, umbilical, epigastric, ventral, or incisional hernias that were incarcerated, obstructed, strangulated, or gangrenous. Only emergent cases occurring within two days of admission and admitted as inpatients were included. Univariate and multivariable analysis was performed. A risk score was also created. Results There were 4298 cases of emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia surgery. The most common was inguinal (25.3 %), followed by incisional (23.8 %), umbilical (23.5 %), ventral (12.1 %), femoral (8.8 %), and epigastric (6.5 %) hernias. Multivariable analysis demonstrated six statistically significant predictors of short-term mortality, including history of congestive heart failure (CHF) [odds ratio (OR) 8.24, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 4.05–16.75), age (OR 5.52, 95 % CI 3.48–8.77), history of peripheral vascular disease (PVD) (OR 4.98, 95 % CI 2.08–11.92), presence of ascites (OR 3.16, 95 % CI 1.64–6.08), preoperative blood urea nitrogen (OR 1.35, 95 % CI 1.22–1.49), and preoperative white blood cell count (OR 1.22, 95 % CI 1.02–1.45). The C-statistic for the risk model was 0.858. 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J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, J. S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tam, S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schwartzman, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bernstein, M. O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dresner, L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Alfonso, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sugiyama, G.</creatorcontrib><title>Predicting 30-day postoperative mortality for emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database</title><title>Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery</title><addtitle>Hernia</addtitle><addtitle>Hernia</addtitle><description>Purpose Anterior abdominal wall hernias are among the most commonly encountered surgical disease. We sought to identify risk factors that are associated with 30-day postoperative mortality following emergent abdominal wall hernia repair using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database. Methods A retrospective analysis of data from the ACS NSQIP from 2005 to 2010 was performed. Patients were selected using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) and International Classification of Disease 9 Clinical Modification (ICD9) codes for the repair of inguinal, femoral, umbilical, epigastric, ventral, or incisional hernias that were incarcerated, obstructed, strangulated, or gangrenous. Only emergent cases occurring within two days of admission and admitted as inpatients were included. Univariate and multivariable analysis was performed. A risk score was also created. Results There were 4298 cases of emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia surgery. The most common was inguinal (25.3 %), followed by incisional (23.8 %), umbilical (23.5 %), ventral (12.1 %), femoral (8.8 %), and epigastric (6.5 %) hernias. Multivariable analysis demonstrated six statistically significant predictors of short-term mortality, including history of congestive heart failure (CHF) [odds ratio (OR) 8.24, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 4.05–16.75), age (OR 5.52, 95 % CI 3.48–8.77), history of peripheral vascular disease (PVD) (OR 4.98, 95 % CI 2.08–11.92), presence of ascites (OR 3.16, 95 % CI 1.64–6.08), preoperative blood urea nitrogen (OR 1.35, 95 % CI 1.22–1.49), and preoperative white blood cell count (OR 1.22, 95 % CI 1.02–1.45). The C-statistic for the risk model was 0.858. 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J.</au><au>Lee, J. S.</au><au>Tam, S.</au><au>Schwartzman, A.</au><au>Bernstein, M. O.</au><au>Dresner, L.</au><au>Alfonso, A.</au><au>Sugiyama, G.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Predicting 30-day postoperative mortality for emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database</atitle><jtitle>Hernia : the journal of hernias and abdominal wall surgery</jtitle><stitle>Hernia</stitle><addtitle>Hernia</addtitle><date>2017-06-01</date><risdate>2017</risdate><volume>21</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>323</spage><epage>333</epage><pages>323-333</pages><issn>1265-4906</issn><eissn>1248-9204</eissn><abstract>Purpose Anterior abdominal wall hernias are among the most commonly encountered surgical disease. We sought to identify risk factors that are associated with 30-day postoperative mortality following emergent abdominal wall hernia repair using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) database. Methods A retrospective analysis of data from the ACS NSQIP from 2005 to 2010 was performed. Patients were selected using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) and International Classification of Disease 9 Clinical Modification (ICD9) codes for the repair of inguinal, femoral, umbilical, epigastric, ventral, or incisional hernias that were incarcerated, obstructed, strangulated, or gangrenous. Only emergent cases occurring within two days of admission and admitted as inpatients were included. Univariate and multivariable analysis was performed. A risk score was also created. Results There were 4298 cases of emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia surgery. The most common was inguinal (25.3 %), followed by incisional (23.8 %), umbilical (23.5 %), ventral (12.1 %), femoral (8.8 %), and epigastric (6.5 %) hernias. Multivariable analysis demonstrated six statistically significant predictors of short-term mortality, including history of congestive heart failure (CHF) [odds ratio (OR) 8.24, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 4.05–16.75), age (OR 5.52, 95 % CI 3.48–8.77), history of peripheral vascular disease (PVD) (OR 4.98, 95 % CI 2.08–11.92), presence of ascites (OR 3.16, 95 % CI 1.64–6.08), preoperative blood urea nitrogen (OR 1.35, 95 % CI 1.22–1.49), and preoperative white blood cell count (OR 1.22, 95 % CI 1.02–1.45). The C-statistic for the risk model was 0.858. Conclusion We present a large study on short-term mortality following emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs based on the ACS NSQIP with a derived risk model that demonstrates excellent discriminative ability.</abstract><cop>Paris</cop><pub>Springer Paris</pub><pmid>27637187</pmid><doi>10.1007/s10029-016-1538-y</doi><tpages>11</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Abdomen
Abdominal Surgery
Abdominal wall
Abdominal Wall - surgery
Adult
Age
Aged
Ascites
Congestive heart failure
Data processing
Databases, Factual
Female
Femur
Health risk assessment
Hernia
Hernia, Ventral - surgery
Hernias
Herniorrhaphy - adverse effects
Herniorrhaphy - mortality
Humans
Male
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Middle Aged
Mortality
Nitrogen
Original Article
Prognosis
Quality control
Quality Improvement
Retrospective Studies
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Statistical analysis
Surgeons
Surgery
Terminology
United States
Urea
title Predicting 30-day postoperative mortality for emergent anterior abdominal wall hernia repairs using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database
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