Ideologically Extreme Candidates in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1948–2012

Scholars routinely cite the landslide defeats of Barry Goldwater and George McGovern as evidence that American electorates punish extremism in presidential politics. Yet systematic evidence for this view is thin. In this article we use postwar election outcomes to assess the electoral effects of ext...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 2016-09, Vol.667 (1), p.126-142
Hauptverfasser: COHEN, MARTY, McGRATH, MARY C., ARONOW, PETER, ZALLER, JOHN
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container_issue 1
container_start_page 126
container_title The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
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creator COHEN, MARTY
McGRATH, MARY C.
ARONOW, PETER
ZALLER, JOHN
description Scholars routinely cite the landslide defeats of Barry Goldwater and George McGovern as evidence that American electorates punish extremism in presidential politics. Yet systematic evidence for this view is thin. In this article we use postwar election outcomes to assess the electoral effects of extremism. In testing ten models over the seventeen elections, we find scant evidence of extremism penalties that were either substantively large or close to statistical significance.
doi_str_mv 10.1177/0002716216660571
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source Worldwide Political Science Abstracts; HeinOnline Law Journal Library; Sociological Abstracts; SAGE Complete A-Z List
subjects American history
Candidates
Economic models
Elections
Elections in America
Extremism
Ideology
Incumbents
Intellectuals
Liberalism
McGovern, George
Musical chairs
Natural disasters
Political campaigns
Political candidates
Political extremism
Political ideologies
Political parties
Politics
Presidential campaigns
Presidential candidates
Presidential elections
Presidents
Statistical significance
United States
Voting
title Ideologically Extreme Candidates in U.S. Presidential Elections, 1948–2012
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