Development of a Risk Prediction Score for Occult Cancer in Patients With VTE

Background The benefits of a diagnostic workup for occult cancer in patients with VTE are controversial. Our aim was to provide and validate a risk score for occult cancer in patients with VTE. Methods We designed a nested case-control study in a cohort of patients with VTE included in the RIETE (Re...

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Veröffentlicht in:Chest 2017-03, Vol.151 (3), p.564-571
Hauptverfasser: Jara-Palomares, Luis, MD, PhD, Otero, Remedios, MD, PhD, Jimenez, David, PhD, Carrier, Marc, MD, Tzoran, Inna, MD, Brenner, Benjamin, MD, Margeli, Mireia, MD, Praena-Fernandez, Juan Manuel, PhD, Grandone, Elvira, MD, PhD, Monreal, Manuel, MD, PhD
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container_end_page 571
container_issue 3
container_start_page 564
container_title Chest
container_volume 151
creator Jara-Palomares, Luis, MD, PhD
Otero, Remedios, MD, PhD
Jimenez, David, PhD
Carrier, Marc, MD
Tzoran, Inna, MD
Brenner, Benjamin, MD
Margeli, Mireia, MD
Praena-Fernandez, Juan Manuel, PhD
Grandone, Elvira, MD, PhD
Monreal, Manuel, MD, PhD
description Background The benefits of a diagnostic workup for occult cancer in patients with VTE are controversial. Our aim was to provide and validate a risk score for occult cancer in patients with VTE. Methods We designed a nested case-control study in a cohort of patients with VTE included in the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbólica) registry from 2001 to 2014. Cases included cancer detected beyond the first 30 days and up to 24 months after VTE. Control subjects were defined as patients with VTE with no cancer in the same period. Results Of 5,863 eligible patients, 444 (7.6%; 95% CI, 6.8%-8.2%) were diagnosed with occult cancer. On multivariable analysis, variables selected were male sex, age > 70 years, chronic lung disease, anemia, elevated platelet count, prior VTE, and recent surgery. We built a risk score assigning points to each variable. Internal validity was confirmed using bootstrap analysis. The proportion of patients with cancer who scored ≤ 2 points was 5.8% (241 of 4,150) and that proportion in those who scored ≥ 3 points was 12% (203 of 1,713). We also identified scores divided by sex and age subgroups. Conclusions This is the first risk score that has identified patients with VTE who are at increased risk for occult cancer. Our score needs to be externally validated.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.025
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Our aim was to provide and validate a risk score for occult cancer in patients with VTE. Methods We designed a nested case-control study in a cohort of patients with VTE included in the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbólica) registry from 2001 to 2014. Cases included cancer detected beyond the first 30 days and up to 24 months after VTE. Control subjects were defined as patients with VTE with no cancer in the same period. Results Of 5,863 eligible patients, 444 (7.6%; 95% CI, 6.8%-8.2%) were diagnosed with occult cancer. On multivariable analysis, variables selected were male sex, age &gt; 70 years, chronic lung disease, anemia, elevated platelet count, prior VTE, and recent surgery. We built a risk score assigning points to each variable. Internal validity was confirmed using bootstrap analysis. The proportion of patients with cancer who scored ≤ 2 points was 5.8% (241 of 4,150) and that proportion in those who scored ≥ 3 points was 12% (203 of 1,713). We also identified scores divided by sex and age subgroups. Conclusions This is the first risk score that has identified patients with VTE who are at increased risk for occult cancer. Our score needs to be externally validated.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0012-3692</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1931-3543</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.025</identifier><identifier>PMID: 27815153</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Age Factors ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Anemia - epidemiology ; Case-Control Studies ; Female ; Humans ; Lung Diseases - epidemiology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multivariate Analysis ; neoplasm ; Neoplasms - diagnosis ; Neoplasms - epidemiology ; pulmonary embolism ; Pulmonary Embolism - epidemiology ; Pulmonary/Respiratory ; Registries ; Reproducibility of Results ; risk ; Risk Assessment ; screening ; Sex Factors ; Spain - epidemiology ; Surgical Procedures, Operative - statistics &amp; numerical data ; Thrombocytosis - epidemiology ; venous thromboembolism ; Venous Thromboembolism - epidemiology ; Venous Thrombosis - epidemiology</subject><ispartof>Chest, 2017-03, Vol.151 (3), p.564-571</ispartof><rights>American College of Chest Physicians</rights><rights>2016 American College of Chest Physicians</rights><rights>Copyright © 2016 American College of Chest Physicians. 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We also identified scores divided by sex and age subgroups. Conclusions This is the first risk score that has identified patients with VTE who are at increased risk for occult cancer. 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Our aim was to provide and validate a risk score for occult cancer in patients with VTE. Methods We designed a nested case-control study in a cohort of patients with VTE included in the RIETE (Registro Informatizado Enfermedad TromboEmbólica) registry from 2001 to 2014. Cases included cancer detected beyond the first 30 days and up to 24 months after VTE. Control subjects were defined as patients with VTE with no cancer in the same period. Results Of 5,863 eligible patients, 444 (7.6%; 95% CI, 6.8%-8.2%) were diagnosed with occult cancer. On multivariable analysis, variables selected were male sex, age &gt; 70 years, chronic lung disease, anemia, elevated platelet count, prior VTE, and recent surgery. We built a risk score assigning points to each variable. Internal validity was confirmed using bootstrap analysis. The proportion of patients with cancer who scored ≤ 2 points was 5.8% (241 of 4,150) and that proportion in those who scored ≥ 3 points was 12% (203 of 1,713). We also identified scores divided by sex and age subgroups. Conclusions This is the first risk score that has identified patients with VTE who are at increased risk for occult cancer. Our score needs to be externally validated.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><pmid>27815153</pmid><doi>10.1016/j.chest.2016.10.025</doi><tpages>8</tpages></addata></record>
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subjects Age Factors
Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Anemia - epidemiology
Case-Control Studies
Female
Humans
Lung Diseases - epidemiology
Male
Middle Aged
Multivariate Analysis
neoplasm
Neoplasms - diagnosis
Neoplasms - epidemiology
pulmonary embolism
Pulmonary Embolism - epidemiology
Pulmonary/Respiratory
Registries
Reproducibility of Results
risk
Risk Assessment
screening
Sex Factors
Spain - epidemiology
Surgical Procedures, Operative - statistics & numerical data
Thrombocytosis - epidemiology
venous thromboembolism
Venous Thromboembolism - epidemiology
Venous Thrombosis - epidemiology
title Development of a Risk Prediction Score for Occult Cancer in Patients With VTE
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