Spatial scales of climate information for simulating wheat and maize productivity: the case of the US Great Plains
The spatial aggregation of climate and soils data for use in site-specific crop models to estimate regional yields is examined. The purpose of this exercise is to determine the optimum spatial resolution of observed climate and soils data for simulating major crops grown in the central Great Plains...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Agricultural and forest meteorology 1998-03, Vol.90 (1), p.51-63 |
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creator | Easterling, William E Weiss, Albert Hays, Cynthia J Mearns, Linda O |
description | The spatial aggregation of climate and soils data for use in site-specific crop models to estimate regional yields is examined. The purpose of this exercise is to determine the optimum spatial resolution of observed climate and soils data for simulating major crops grown in the central Great Plains (maize, wheat), beginning at a scale of 2.8°×2.8° (T42), which is close to that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) general circulation model (GCM) grid cell and progressively disaggregating climate and soils data to finer spatial scales. Using the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) crop model, observed crop yields for the period 1984–1992 are compared with yields simulated with observed 1984–1992 climate. The goal is to identify the spatial resolution of climate and soils data which minimizes statistical error between observed and modeled yields. Agreement between simulated and observed maize and wheat was greatly improved when climate data was disaggregated to approximately 1°×1° resolution. No disaggregation results for hay were statistically significant. Disaggregation of climate data finer than the 1°×1° resolution gave no further improvement in agreement. Disaggregation of soils data gave no additional improvement beyond that of the disaggregation of climate data. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/S0168-1923(97)00091-9 |
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The purpose of this exercise is to determine the optimum spatial resolution of observed climate and soils data for simulating major crops grown in the central Great Plains (maize, wheat), beginning at a scale of 2.8°×2.8° (T42), which is close to that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) general circulation model (GCM) grid cell and progressively disaggregating climate and soils data to finer spatial scales. Using the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) crop model, observed crop yields for the period 1984–1992 are compared with yields simulated with observed 1984–1992 climate. The goal is to identify the spatial resolution of climate and soils data which minimizes statistical error between observed and modeled yields. Agreement between simulated and observed maize and wheat was greatly improved when climate data was disaggregated to approximately 1°×1° resolution. No disaggregation results for hay were statistically significant. 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The purpose of this exercise is to determine the optimum spatial resolution of observed climate and soils data for simulating major crops grown in the central Great Plains (maize, wheat), beginning at a scale of 2.8°×2.8° (T42), which is close to that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) general circulation model (GCM) grid cell and progressively disaggregating climate and soils data to finer spatial scales. Using the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) crop model, observed crop yields for the period 1984–1992 are compared with yields simulated with observed 1984–1992 climate. The goal is to identify the spatial resolution of climate and soils data which minimizes statistical error between observed and modeled yields. Agreement between simulated and observed maize and wheat was greatly improved when climate data was disaggregated to approximately 1°×1° resolution. No disaggregation results for hay were statistically significant. Disaggregation of climate data finer than the 1°×1° resolution gave no further improvement in agreement. Disaggregation of soils data gave no additional improvement beyond that of the disaggregation of climate data.</description><subject>Agricultural and forest climatology and meteorology. Irrigation. Drainage</subject><subject>Agricultural and forest meteorology</subject><subject>Agriculture</subject><subject>Agronomy. Soil science and plant productions</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic models of plant production</subject><subject>Crop model</subject><subject>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</subject><subject>General agronomy. Plant production</subject><subject>Generalities. Techniques. Climatology. Meteorology. 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Climatic models of plant production</topic><topic>Scaling</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Easterling, William E</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Weiss, Albert</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hays, Cynthia J</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mearns, Linda O</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><jtitle>Agricultural and forest meteorology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Easterling, William E</au><au>Weiss, Albert</au><au>Hays, Cynthia J</au><au>Mearns, Linda O</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Spatial scales of climate information for simulating wheat and maize productivity: the case of the US Great Plains</atitle><jtitle>Agricultural and forest meteorology</jtitle><date>1998-03-01</date><risdate>1998</risdate><volume>90</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>51</spage><epage>63</epage><pages>51-63</pages><issn>0168-1923</issn><eissn>1873-2240</eissn><coden>AFMEEB</coden><abstract>The spatial aggregation of climate and soils data for use in site-specific crop models to estimate regional yields is examined. The purpose of this exercise is to determine the optimum spatial resolution of observed climate and soils data for simulating major crops grown in the central Great Plains (maize, wheat), beginning at a scale of 2.8°×2.8° (T42), which is close to that of the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasting (ECMWF) general circulation model (GCM) grid cell and progressively disaggregating climate and soils data to finer spatial scales. Using the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator (EPIC) crop model, observed crop yields for the period 1984–1992 are compared with yields simulated with observed 1984–1992 climate. The goal is to identify the spatial resolution of climate and soils data which minimizes statistical error between observed and modeled yields. Agreement between simulated and observed maize and wheat was greatly improved when climate data was disaggregated to approximately 1°×1° resolution. No disaggregation results for hay were statistically significant. 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subjects | Agricultural and forest climatology and meteorology. Irrigation. Drainage Agricultural and forest meteorology Agriculture Agronomy. Soil science and plant productions Biological and medical sciences Climate change Climatic models of plant production Crop model Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology General agronomy. Plant production Generalities. Techniques. Climatology. Meteorology. Climatic models of plant production Scaling |
title | Spatial scales of climate information for simulating wheat and maize productivity: the case of the US Great Plains |
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