The skill of ensemble prediction systems

The performance of ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) is investigated by examining the probability distribution of 500-hPa geopotential height over Europe. The probability score (or half Brier score) is used to evaluate the quality of probabilistic forecasts of a single binary event. The skill of an...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Monthly weather review 1999-09, Vol.127 (9), p.1941-1953
1. Verfasser:	ATGER, F
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Earth, ocean, space Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Meteorology Weather analysis and prediction
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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