Experimental forecasts of all-India monthly and summer monsoon rainfall using neural network

The cognitive network for rainfall forecast was developed as an alternative forecast tool for rainfall pattern. Based on the hindcast skill and success in experimental forecast for last four years of all-India summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR), we record in the present study our cognitive forecast of ISMR for the years 1999 and 2000. While these forecasts are purely experimental, they provide an objective evaluation of the method. In addition, the present study also reports an enhanced scope of cognitive forecast of rainfall pattern, by providing experimental forecasts of all-India monthly mean precipitation for the years 1999 and 2000. These monthly forecasts also provide more stringent evaluation of the method.