Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis
•Biotic dependencies of river biota were implemented into a distribution model.•T. thymallus will suffer from habitat loss under climate change.•Habitat loss of T. thymallus was attenuated by A. auricollis occurrence.•Distribution loss was strongly related to climate change intensity. Climate change...
Gespeichert in:
Veröffentlicht in: | Ecological modelling 2016-05, Vol.327, p.95-104 |
---|---|
Hauptverfasser: | , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
container_end_page | 104 |
---|---|
container_issue | |
container_start_page | 95 |
container_title | Ecological modelling |
container_volume | 327 |
creator | Pletterbauer, Florian Graf, Wolfram Schmutz, Stefan |
description | •Biotic dependencies of river biota were implemented into a distribution model.•T. thymallus will suffer from habitat loss under climate change.•Habitat loss of T. thymallus was attenuated by A. auricollis occurrence.•Distribution loss was strongly related to climate change intensity.
Climate change will impact the riverine environment of aquatic organisms. However, most studies focus solely on environmental characteristics to evaluate future distribution shifts. Here, we analyse current and future distribution of the freshwater fish species Thymallus thymallus in relation to the caddisfly Allogamus auricollis. Current and future distributions of the two species were evaluated by a consensus model approach integrating seven different distribution model techniques and testing the effect of considering biotic dependence. Predictions for future distributions were calculated on the basis of the most recent representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of the IPCC for the period of the 2050s. Habitat loss and gain, distribution congruence and altitudinal shift between the two species were quantified on the basis of a full river network. The model considering biotic dependence identified the caddisfly as important variable for the distributions of European grayling, mitigating the drastic effects of climate change. Habitat loss of the grayling was attenuated by considering the distribution of the caddisfly in the distribution modelling. Strong temperature increases as well as run-off decreases led to largest habitat loss of both species (up to 70%). Our combined approach highlighted that the consideration of biotic dependencies in climate change studies improves the understanding for potential future changes of distribution patterns. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.01.010 |
format | Article |
fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1808116302</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><els_id>S0304380016000296</els_id><sourcerecordid>1808116302</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c454t-59bff7bc9009742f9abdbf3b2eb116d45a481d3a2350b1439f5d4ad81af5fa7d3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqFkctqHDEQRRuTgCeOv8FaZtOT0qOn1d4NxnmAIYuM10KPkq1B3ZpI3QH_ST7XGk9iyMpQoEI6dQtxmuaKwpoC3Xzer9GmOCaHcc3qxRpoLThrVlT2rO2Bbd41K-AgWi4BzpsPpewBgDLJVs2fW-_RziR5YkKagyUODzg5nGzAQsJEygFfWhfKnINZ5pAm8rKuXJPdIxK_zEvG_99r3O7xadQxLoXMr91SgzOxaSqhNvofuo0xPeixAnrJof4mhvKxee91LHj597xo7r_c7m6-tXc_vn6_2d61VnRibrvBeN8bOwAMvWB-0MYZzw1DQ-nGiU4LSR3XjHdgqOCD75zQTlLtO697xy-aT6fcQ06_FiyzGkOxGKOeMC1FUQmyJnFgb6O97BgXlHYV7U-ozamUjF4dchh1flIU1FGb2qtXbeqoTQGtBXXy6jTpdVL6IYei7n8egWpMDmzgldieiGoAfwfMqlRBk0UXclWpXApvbnkGCCGy5A</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>1785234115</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis</title><source>Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete</source><creator>Pletterbauer, Florian ; Graf, Wolfram ; Schmutz, Stefan</creator><creatorcontrib>Pletterbauer, Florian ; Graf, Wolfram ; Schmutz, Stefan</creatorcontrib><description>•Biotic dependencies of river biota were implemented into a distribution model.•T. thymallus will suffer from habitat loss under climate change.•Habitat loss of T. thymallus was attenuated by A. auricollis occurrence.•Distribution loss was strongly related to climate change intensity.
Climate change will impact the riverine environment of aquatic organisms. However, most studies focus solely on environmental characteristics to evaluate future distribution shifts. Here, we analyse current and future distribution of the freshwater fish species Thymallus thymallus in relation to the caddisfly Allogamus auricollis. Current and future distributions of the two species were evaluated by a consensus model approach integrating seven different distribution model techniques and testing the effect of considering biotic dependence. Predictions for future distributions were calculated on the basis of the most recent representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of the IPCC for the period of the 2050s. Habitat loss and gain, distribution congruence and altitudinal shift between the two species were quantified on the basis of a full river network. The model considering biotic dependence identified the caddisfly as important variable for the distributions of European grayling, mitigating the drastic effects of climate change. Habitat loss of the grayling was attenuated by considering the distribution of the caddisfly in the distribution modelling. Strong temperature increases as well as run-off decreases led to largest habitat loss of both species (up to 70%). Our combined approach highlighted that the consideration of biotic dependencies in climate change studies improves the understanding for potential future changes of distribution patterns.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0304-3800</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1872-7026</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.01.010</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Allogamus auricollis ; aquatic environment ; Attenuation ; biogeography ; Biotic interaction ; Caddisfly ; Climate change ; Environmental impact ; European grayling ; Fish ; Freshwater ; freshwater fish ; Gain ; habitat destruction ; Habitats ; Macro invertebrate ; Mathematical models ; Modelling ; prediction ; rivers ; runoff ; Stream fish ; temperature ; Thymallus ; Thymallus thymallus ; Trichoptera</subject><ispartof>Ecological modelling, 2016-05, Vol.327, p.95-104</ispartof><rights>2016 The Authors</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c454t-59bff7bc9009742f9abdbf3b2eb116d45a481d3a2350b1439f5d4ad81af5fa7d3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c454t-59bff7bc9009742f9abdbf3b2eb116d45a481d3a2350b1439f5d4ad81af5fa7d3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.01.010$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,3550,27924,27925,45995</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Pletterbauer, Florian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Graf, Wolfram</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schmutz, Stefan</creatorcontrib><title>Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis</title><title>Ecological modelling</title><description>•Biotic dependencies of river biota were implemented into a distribution model.•T. thymallus will suffer from habitat loss under climate change.•Habitat loss of T. thymallus was attenuated by A. auricollis occurrence.•Distribution loss was strongly related to climate change intensity.
Climate change will impact the riverine environment of aquatic organisms. However, most studies focus solely on environmental characteristics to evaluate future distribution shifts. Here, we analyse current and future distribution of the freshwater fish species Thymallus thymallus in relation to the caddisfly Allogamus auricollis. Current and future distributions of the two species were evaluated by a consensus model approach integrating seven different distribution model techniques and testing the effect of considering biotic dependence. Predictions for future distributions were calculated on the basis of the most recent representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of the IPCC for the period of the 2050s. Habitat loss and gain, distribution congruence and altitudinal shift between the two species were quantified on the basis of a full river network. The model considering biotic dependence identified the caddisfly as important variable for the distributions of European grayling, mitigating the drastic effects of climate change. Habitat loss of the grayling was attenuated by considering the distribution of the caddisfly in the distribution modelling. Strong temperature increases as well as run-off decreases led to largest habitat loss of both species (up to 70%). Our combined approach highlighted that the consideration of biotic dependencies in climate change studies improves the understanding for potential future changes of distribution patterns.</description><subject>Allogamus auricollis</subject><subject>aquatic environment</subject><subject>Attenuation</subject><subject>biogeography</subject><subject>Biotic interaction</subject><subject>Caddisfly</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Environmental impact</subject><subject>European grayling</subject><subject>Fish</subject><subject>Freshwater</subject><subject>freshwater fish</subject><subject>Gain</subject><subject>habitat destruction</subject><subject>Habitats</subject><subject>Macro invertebrate</subject><subject>Mathematical models</subject><subject>Modelling</subject><subject>prediction</subject><subject>rivers</subject><subject>runoff</subject><subject>Stream fish</subject><subject>temperature</subject><subject>Thymallus</subject><subject>Thymallus thymallus</subject><subject>Trichoptera</subject><issn>0304-3800</issn><issn>1872-7026</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2016</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqFkctqHDEQRRuTgCeOv8FaZtOT0qOn1d4NxnmAIYuM10KPkq1B3ZpI3QH_ST7XGk9iyMpQoEI6dQtxmuaKwpoC3Xzer9GmOCaHcc3qxRpoLThrVlT2rO2Bbd41K-AgWi4BzpsPpewBgDLJVs2fW-_RziR5YkKagyUODzg5nGzAQsJEygFfWhfKnINZ5pAm8rKuXJPdIxK_zEvG_99r3O7xadQxLoXMr91SgzOxaSqhNvofuo0xPeixAnrJof4mhvKxee91LHj597xo7r_c7m6-tXc_vn6_2d61VnRibrvBeN8bOwAMvWB-0MYZzw1DQ-nGiU4LSR3XjHdgqOCD75zQTlLtO697xy-aT6fcQ06_FiyzGkOxGKOeMC1FUQmyJnFgb6O97BgXlHYV7U-ozamUjF4dchh1flIU1FGb2qtXbeqoTQGtBXXy6jTpdVL6IYei7n8egWpMDmzgldieiGoAfwfMqlRBk0UXclWpXApvbnkGCCGy5A</recordid><startdate>20160510</startdate><enddate>20160510</enddate><creator>Pletterbauer, Florian</creator><creator>Graf, Wolfram</creator><creator>Schmutz, Stefan</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><scope>6I.</scope><scope>AAFTH</scope><scope>FBQ</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7U6</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H95</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>SOI</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>KR7</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20160510</creationdate><title>Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis</title><author>Pletterbauer, Florian ; Graf, Wolfram ; Schmutz, Stefan</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c454t-59bff7bc9009742f9abdbf3b2eb116d45a481d3a2350b1439f5d4ad81af5fa7d3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>Allogamus auricollis</topic><topic>aquatic environment</topic><topic>Attenuation</topic><topic>biogeography</topic><topic>Biotic interaction</topic><topic>Caddisfly</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Environmental impact</topic><topic>European grayling</topic><topic>Fish</topic><topic>Freshwater</topic><topic>freshwater fish</topic><topic>Gain</topic><topic>habitat destruction</topic><topic>Habitats</topic><topic>Macro invertebrate</topic><topic>Mathematical models</topic><topic>Modelling</topic><topic>prediction</topic><topic>rivers</topic><topic>runoff</topic><topic>Stream fish</topic><topic>temperature</topic><topic>Thymallus</topic><topic>Thymallus thymallus</topic><topic>Trichoptera</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Pletterbauer, Florian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Graf, Wolfram</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schmutz, Stefan</creatorcontrib><collection>ScienceDirect Open Access Titles</collection><collection>Elsevier:ScienceDirect:Open Access</collection><collection>AGRIS</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Ecology Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Sustainability Science Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 1: Biological Sciences & Living Resources</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Civil Engineering Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Ecological modelling</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Pletterbauer, Florian</au><au>Graf, Wolfram</au><au>Schmutz, Stefan</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis</atitle><jtitle>Ecological modelling</jtitle><date>2016-05-10</date><risdate>2016</risdate><volume>327</volume><spage>95</spage><epage>104</epage><pages>95-104</pages><issn>0304-3800</issn><eissn>1872-7026</eissn><abstract>•Biotic dependencies of river biota were implemented into a distribution model.•T. thymallus will suffer from habitat loss under climate change.•Habitat loss of T. thymallus was attenuated by A. auricollis occurrence.•Distribution loss was strongly related to climate change intensity.
Climate change will impact the riverine environment of aquatic organisms. However, most studies focus solely on environmental characteristics to evaluate future distribution shifts. Here, we analyse current and future distribution of the freshwater fish species Thymallus thymallus in relation to the caddisfly Allogamus auricollis. Current and future distributions of the two species were evaluated by a consensus model approach integrating seven different distribution model techniques and testing the effect of considering biotic dependence. Predictions for future distributions were calculated on the basis of the most recent representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of the IPCC for the period of the 2050s. Habitat loss and gain, distribution congruence and altitudinal shift between the two species were quantified on the basis of a full river network. The model considering biotic dependence identified the caddisfly as important variable for the distributions of European grayling, mitigating the drastic effects of climate change. Habitat loss of the grayling was attenuated by considering the distribution of the caddisfly in the distribution modelling. Strong temperature increases as well as run-off decreases led to largest habitat loss of both species (up to 70%). Our combined approach highlighted that the consideration of biotic dependencies in climate change studies improves the understanding for potential future changes of distribution patterns.</abstract><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><doi>10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.01.010</doi><tpages>10</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
fulltext | fulltext |
identifier | ISSN: 0304-3800 |
ispartof | Ecological modelling, 2016-05, Vol.327, p.95-104 |
issn | 0304-3800 1872-7026 |
language | eng |
recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1808116302 |
source | Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete |
subjects | Allogamus auricollis aquatic environment Attenuation biogeography Biotic interaction Caddisfly Climate change Environmental impact European grayling Fish Freshwater freshwater fish Gain habitat destruction Habitats Macro invertebrate Mathematical models Modelling prediction rivers runoff Stream fish temperature Thymallus Thymallus thymallus Trichoptera |
title | Effect of biotic dependencies in species distribution models: The future distribution of Thymallus thymallus under consideration of Allogamus auricollis |
url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-24T02%3A08%3A52IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Effect%20of%20biotic%20dependencies%20in%20species%20distribution%20models:%20The%20future%20distribution%20of%20Thymallus%20thymallus%20under%20consideration%20of%20Allogamus%20auricollis&rft.jtitle=Ecological%20modelling&rft.au=Pletterbauer,%20Florian&rft.date=2016-05-10&rft.volume=327&rft.spage=95&rft.epage=104&rft.pages=95-104&rft.issn=0304-3800&rft.eissn=1872-7026&rft_id=info:doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.01.010&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E1808116302%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1785234115&rft_id=info:pmid/&rft_els_id=S0304380016000296&rfr_iscdi=true |