Assessment of the Effects of Severe Winter Disasters (Dzud) on Public Health in Mongolia on the Basis of Loss of Livestock
Mongolia experienced one of its most severe natural winter disasters (dzud) in 2009-2010. It is difficult to accurately assess the risk of the effects of dzud on human lives and public health. This study aimed to evaluate the Mongolian public health risks of dzud by assessing livestock loss. We anal...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Disaster medicine and public health preparedness 2016-08, Vol.10 (4), p.549-552 |
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| creator | Otani, Shinji Onishi, Kazunari Kurozawa, Youichi Kurosaki, Yasunori Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev Shinoda, Masato Mu, Haosheng |
| description | Mongolia experienced one of its most severe natural winter disasters (dzud) in 2009-2010. It is difficult to accurately assess the risk of the effects of dzud on human lives and public health. This study aimed to evaluate the Mongolian public health risks of dzud by assessing livestock loss.
We analyzed data from all 21 provinces and Ulaanbaatar in Mongolia and compared the changes in infant mortality (2009-2010) and the decline in the numbers of livestock (percentage change from the previous year), which included horses, cattle, camels, sheep, and goats (2009-2010) and/or meteorological data. We also evaluated the association among the trends in the infant mortality rate, the number of livestock, and foodstuff consumption throughout Mongolia (2001-2012).
The change in the infant mortality rate was positively correlated with the rate of decreasing numbers of each type of livestock in 2010. Average temperature and total precipitation were not related to the change in the infant mortality rate. In the trend from 2001 to 2012, there was a significant positive correlation between the infant mortality rate and the number of livestock and the consumption of milk products.
Loss of livestock and shortage of milk products leading to malnutrition might have affected public health as typified by infant mortality in Mongolia. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:549-552). |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1017/dmp.2016.5 |
| format | Article |
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We analyzed data from all 21 provinces and Ulaanbaatar in Mongolia and compared the changes in infant mortality (2009-2010) and the decline in the numbers of livestock (percentage change from the previous year), which included horses, cattle, camels, sheep, and goats (2009-2010) and/or meteorological data. We also evaluated the association among the trends in the infant mortality rate, the number of livestock, and foodstuff consumption throughout Mongolia (2001-2012).
The change in the infant mortality rate was positively correlated with the rate of decreasing numbers of each type of livestock in 2010. Average temperature and total precipitation were not related to the change in the infant mortality rate. In the trend from 2001 to 2012, there was a significant positive correlation between the infant mortality rate and the number of livestock and the consumption of milk products.
Loss of livestock and shortage of milk products leading to malnutrition might have affected public health as typified by infant mortality in Mongolia. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:549-552).</description><identifier>ISSN: 1935-7893</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1938-744X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1017/dmp.2016.5</identifier><identifier>PMID: 27019011</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York, USA: Cambridge University Press</publisher><subject>Animals ; Babies ; Births ; Brief Reports ; Camelus ; Cattle ; Child mortality ; Children & youth ; Cold ; Cold Climate - adverse effects ; Disasters ; Disasters - statistics & numerical data ; Goats ; Health risks ; Horses ; Humans ; Infant ; Infant mortality ; Infant Mortality - trends ; Infants ; Livestock ; Malnutrition ; Meat products ; Models, Animal ; Mongolia ; Mortality - trends ; Pediatrics ; Precipitation ; Public health ; Public Health - statistics & numerical data ; Risk assessment ; Risk Assessment - methods ; School dropouts ; Seasons ; Sheep ; Trends ; Vitamin D ; Vitamin deficiency</subject><ispartof>Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 2016-08, Vol.10 (4), p.549-552</ispartof><rights>Copyright © Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc. 2016</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c498t-b07f4980154639498c5fe516c31ed7688377ab9a2399fa004589bda3f8c296f53</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c498t-b07f4980154639498c5fe516c31ed7688377ab9a2399fa004589bda3f8c296f53</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S1935789316000057/type/journal_article$$EHTML$$P50$$Gcambridge$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>164,314,776,780,27901,27902,55603</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27019011$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Otani, Shinji</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Onishi, Kazunari</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kurozawa, Youichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kurosaki, Yasunori</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shinoda, Masato</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mu, Haosheng</creatorcontrib><title>Assessment of the Effects of Severe Winter Disasters (Dzud) on Public Health in Mongolia on the Basis of Loss of Livestock</title><title>Disaster medicine and public health preparedness</title><addtitle>Disaster med. public health prep</addtitle><description>Mongolia experienced one of its most severe natural winter disasters (dzud) in 2009-2010. It is difficult to accurately assess the risk of the effects of dzud on human lives and public health. This study aimed to evaluate the Mongolian public health risks of dzud by assessing livestock loss.
We analyzed data from all 21 provinces and Ulaanbaatar in Mongolia and compared the changes in infant mortality (2009-2010) and the decline in the numbers of livestock (percentage change from the previous year), which included horses, cattle, camels, sheep, and goats (2009-2010) and/or meteorological data. We also evaluated the association among the trends in the infant mortality rate, the number of livestock, and foodstuff consumption throughout Mongolia (2001-2012).
The change in the infant mortality rate was positively correlated with the rate of decreasing numbers of each type of livestock in 2010. Average temperature and total precipitation were not related to the change in the infant mortality rate. In the trend from 2001 to 2012, there was a significant positive correlation between the infant mortality rate and the number of livestock and the consumption of milk products.
Loss of livestock and shortage of milk products leading to malnutrition might have affected public health as typified by infant mortality in Mongolia. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:549-552).</description><subject>Animals</subject><subject>Babies</subject><subject>Births</subject><subject>Brief Reports</subject><subject>Camelus</subject><subject>Cattle</subject><subject>Child mortality</subject><subject>Children & youth</subject><subject>Cold</subject><subject>Cold Climate - adverse effects</subject><subject>Disasters</subject><subject>Disasters - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Goats</subject><subject>Health risks</subject><subject>Horses</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>Infant mortality</subject><subject>Infant Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Infants</subject><subject>Livestock</subject><subject>Malnutrition</subject><subject>Meat products</subject><subject>Models, Animal</subject><subject>Mongolia</subject><subject>Mortality - trends</subject><subject>Pediatrics</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Public health</subject><subject>Public Health - statistics & numerical data</subject><subject>Risk assessment</subject><subject>Risk Assessment - methods</subject><subject>School dropouts</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>Sheep</subject><subject>Trends</subject><subject>Vitamin D</subject><subject>Vitamin deficiency</subject><issn>1935-7893</issn><issn>1938-744X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2016</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><recordid>eNptkV9v1SAYh8mi2ebcjR_AkHizLfYIpRS43F9ncowmbtE7QunLxmzLGbRL3KeX7pxpYrx6f4Qnzwv5IfSGkgUlVHxo-9WiJLRe8C20SxWThaiqHy-eMi-EVGwHvUrpjhBeC6620U4pCFWE0l30eJwSpNTDMOLg8HgL-Nw5sGOaj9_gASLg734YIeIzn0zKIeGDs8epPcRhwF-npvMWX4LpxlvsB_w5DDeh82a-nG0nJvkn1zKk9fQPkMZgf75GL53pEuxv5h66vji_Or0sll8-fjo9Xha2UnIsGiJcDoTyqmYqJ8sdcFpbRqEVtZRMCNMoUzKlnCGk4lI1rWFO2lLVjrM9dLD2rmK4n_Ju3ftkoevMAGFKmkpSybqqBM3ou3_QuzDFIb9OlyURJWOlnKmjNWVj_lMEp1fR9yb-0pTouRGdG9FzI3re_najnJoe2j_ocwUZeL-xmb6Jvr2Bv0v_4_sNPaSTbQ</recordid><startdate>201608</startdate><enddate>201608</enddate><creator>Otani, Shinji</creator><creator>Onishi, Kazunari</creator><creator>Kurozawa, Youichi</creator><creator>Kurosaki, Yasunori</creator><creator>Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev</creator><creator>Shinoda, Masato</creator><creator>Mu, Haosheng</creator><general>Cambridge University Press</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AEUYN</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201608</creationdate><title>Assessment of the Effects of Severe Winter Disasters (Dzud) on Public Health in Mongolia on the Basis of Loss of Livestock</title><author>Otani, Shinji ; Onishi, Kazunari ; Kurozawa, Youichi ; Kurosaki, Yasunori ; Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev ; Shinoda, Masato ; Mu, Haosheng</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c498t-b07f4980154639498c5fe516c31ed7688377ab9a2399fa004589bda3f8c296f53</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2016</creationdate><topic>Animals</topic><topic>Babies</topic><topic>Births</topic><topic>Brief Reports</topic><topic>Camelus</topic><topic>Cattle</topic><topic>Child mortality</topic><topic>Children & youth</topic><topic>Cold</topic><topic>Cold Climate - adverse effects</topic><topic>Disasters</topic><topic>Disasters - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Goats</topic><topic>Health risks</topic><topic>Horses</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Infant</topic><topic>Infant mortality</topic><topic>Infant Mortality - trends</topic><topic>Infants</topic><topic>Livestock</topic><topic>Malnutrition</topic><topic>Meat products</topic><topic>Models, Animal</topic><topic>Mongolia</topic><topic>Mortality - trends</topic><topic>Pediatrics</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Public health</topic><topic>Public Health - statistics & numerical data</topic><topic>Risk assessment</topic><topic>Risk Assessment - methods</topic><topic>School dropouts</topic><topic>Seasons</topic><topic>Sheep</topic><topic>Trends</topic><topic>Vitamin D</topic><topic>Vitamin deficiency</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Otani, Shinji</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Onishi, Kazunari</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kurozawa, Youichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Kurosaki, Yasunori</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shinoda, Masato</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mu, Haosheng</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Public Health Database (Proquest)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Sustainability</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>AUTh Library subscriptions: ProQuest Central</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Disaster medicine and public health preparedness</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Otani, Shinji</au><au>Onishi, Kazunari</au><au>Kurozawa, Youichi</au><au>Kurosaki, Yasunori</au><au>Bat-Oyun, Tserenpurev</au><au>Shinoda, Masato</au><au>Mu, Haosheng</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Assessment of the Effects of Severe Winter Disasters (Dzud) on Public Health in Mongolia on the Basis of Loss of Livestock</atitle><jtitle>Disaster medicine and public health preparedness</jtitle><addtitle>Disaster med. public health prep</addtitle><date>2016-08</date><risdate>2016</risdate><volume>10</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>549</spage><epage>552</epage><pages>549-552</pages><issn>1935-7893</issn><eissn>1938-744X</eissn><abstract>Mongolia experienced one of its most severe natural winter disasters (dzud) in 2009-2010. It is difficult to accurately assess the risk of the effects of dzud on human lives and public health. This study aimed to evaluate the Mongolian public health risks of dzud by assessing livestock loss.
We analyzed data from all 21 provinces and Ulaanbaatar in Mongolia and compared the changes in infant mortality (2009-2010) and the decline in the numbers of livestock (percentage change from the previous year), which included horses, cattle, camels, sheep, and goats (2009-2010) and/or meteorological data. We also evaluated the association among the trends in the infant mortality rate, the number of livestock, and foodstuff consumption throughout Mongolia (2001-2012).
The change in the infant mortality rate was positively correlated with the rate of decreasing numbers of each type of livestock in 2010. Average temperature and total precipitation were not related to the change in the infant mortality rate. In the trend from 2001 to 2012, there was a significant positive correlation between the infant mortality rate and the number of livestock and the consumption of milk products.
Loss of livestock and shortage of milk products leading to malnutrition might have affected public health as typified by infant mortality in Mongolia. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;10:549-552).</abstract><cop>New York, USA</cop><pub>Cambridge University Press</pub><pmid>27019011</pmid><doi>10.1017/dmp.2016.5</doi><tpages>4</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1935-7893 |
| ispartof | Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 2016-08, Vol.10 (4), p.549-552 |
| issn | 1935-7893 1938-744X |
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| source | Cambridge Core; MEDLINE |
| subjects | Animals Babies Births Brief Reports Camelus Cattle Child mortality Children & youth Cold Cold Climate - adverse effects Disasters Disasters - statistics & numerical data Goats Health risks Horses Humans Infant Infant mortality Infant Mortality - trends Infants Livestock Malnutrition Meat products Models, Animal Mongolia Mortality - trends Pediatrics Precipitation Public health Public Health - statistics & numerical data Risk assessment Risk Assessment - methods School dropouts Seasons Sheep Trends Vitamin D Vitamin deficiency |
| title | Assessment of the Effects of Severe Winter Disasters (Dzud) on Public Health in Mongolia on the Basis of Loss of Livestock |
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