Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters: e0152186

Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters: e0152186

Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity...

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Veröffentlicht in:PloS one 2016-03, Vol.11 (3)
Hauptverfasser: Yang, Hyun Mo, Boldrini, Jose Luiz, Fassoni, Artur Cesar, Freitas, Luiz FernandoSouza, Gomez, Miller Ceron, Lima, Katerine Barbozade, Andrade, Valmir Roberto, Freitas, Andre RicardoRibas
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container_title PloS one
container_volume 11
creator Yang, Hyun Mo
Boldrini, Jose Luiz
Fassoni, Artur Cesar
Freitas, Luiz FernandoSouza
Gomez, Miller Ceron
Lima, Katerine Barbozade
Andrade, Valmir Roberto
Freitas, Andre RicardoRibas
description Four time-dependent dengue transmission models are considered in order to fit the incidence data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, recorded from October 1st 1995 to September 30th 2012. The entomological parameters are allowed to depend on temperature and precipitation, while the carrying capacity and the hatching of eggs depend only on precipitation. The whole period of incidence of dengue is split into four periods, due to the fact that the model is formulated considering the circulation of only one serotype. Dengue transmission parameters from human to mosquito and mosquito to human are fitted for each one of the periods. The time varying partial and overall effective reproduction numbers are obtained to explain the incidence of dengue provided by the models.
doi_str_mv 10.1371/journal.pone.0152186
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title Fitting the Incidence Data from the City of Campinas, Brazil, Based on Dengue Transmission Modellings Considering Time-Dependent Entomological Parameters: e0152186
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