MONETARY POLICY REGIME SWITCHES AND MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS

This article considers the determinacy and distributional consequences of regime switching in monetary policy. Although switching in the inflation target does not affect determinacy, switches in the inflation response can cause indeterminacy. Satisfying the Taylor principle period by period is neith...

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Veröffentlicht in:International economic review (Philadelphia) 2016-02, Vol.57 (1), p.211-230
1. Verfasser: Foerster, Andrew T.
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description This article considers the determinacy and distributional consequences of regime switching in monetary policy. Although switching in the inflation target does not affect determinacy, switches in the inflation response can cause indeterminacy. Satisfying the Taylor principle period by period is neither necessary nor sufficient for determinacy when inflation responses switch; indeterminacy can arise if monetary policy responds too aggressively to inflation in the active regime. Inflation target switches primarily impact the level of inflation, whereas inflation response switches primarily impact the volatility. Expecting an inflation target switch has minor effects on volatility, whereas expecting an inflation response switch raises volatility more substantially.
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subjects Determinacy
Economic inflation
Economic models
Explosives
Inflation
Inflation rates
Interest rates
Macroeconomics
Monetary policy
Output gaps
Steady state economies
Studies
Volatility
title MONETARY POLICY REGIME SWITCHES AND MACROECONOMIC DYNAMICS
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