Evidence for stratospheric sudden warming effects on the upper thermosphere derived from satellite orbital decay data during 1967-2013

We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long‐term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967–2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass De...

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Veröffentlicht in:Geophysical research letters 2015-08, Vol.42 (15), p.6180-6188
Hauptverfasser: Yamazaki, Yosuke, Kosch, Michael J., Emmert, John T.
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container_title Geophysical research letters
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creator Yamazaki, Yosuke
Kosch, Michael J.
Emmert, John T.
description We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long‐term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967–2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass Density Model (GAMDM) that takes into account density variability due to solar activity, season, geomagnetic activity, and long‐term trend. A superposed epoch analysis of 37 SSW events reveals a density reduction of 3–7% at 250–575 km around the time of maximum polar vortex weakening. The relative density perturbation is found to be greater at higher altitudes. The temperature perturbation is estimated to be −7.0 K at 400 km. We show that the density reduction can arise from enhanced wave forcing from the lower atmosphere. Key Points A statistical analysis is performed for SSW effects on the thermosphere A significant density reduction is revealed during SSWs We suggest wave forcing from the lower atmosphere as a possible mechanism
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Res. Lett</addtitle><description>We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long‐term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967–2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass Density Model (GAMDM) that takes into account density variability due to solar activity, season, geomagnetic activity, and long‐term trend. A superposed epoch analysis of 37 SSW events reveals a density reduction of 3–7% at 250–575 km around the time of maximum polar vortex weakening. The relative density perturbation is found to be greater at higher altitudes. The temperature perturbation is estimated to be −7.0 K at 400 km. We show that the density reduction can arise from enhanced wave forcing from the lower atmosphere. 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Res. Lett</addtitle><date>2015-08-16</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>42</volume><issue>15</issue><spage>6180</spage><epage>6188</epage><pages>6180-6188</pages><issn>0094-8276</issn><eissn>1944-8007</eissn><abstract>We investigate possible impact of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) on the thermosphere by using long‐term data of the global average thermospheric total mass density derived from satellite orbital drag during 1967–2013. Residuals are analyzed between the data and empirical Global Average Mass Density Model (GAMDM) that takes into account density variability due to solar activity, season, geomagnetic activity, and long‐term trend. A superposed epoch analysis of 37 SSW events reveals a density reduction of 3–7% at 250–575 km around the time of maximum polar vortex weakening. The relative density perturbation is found to be greater at higher altitudes. The temperature perturbation is estimated to be −7.0 K at 400 km. 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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Wiley Online Library Free Content; Wiley-Blackwell AGU Digital Library; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals
subjects Atmosphere
Climate change
Data
Data processing
Decay
Density
Drag
Empirical analysis
Fluid flow
Geomagnetic activity
Geomagnetism
Geophysics
Global warming
Loads (forces)
Lower atmosphere
Mass
Meteorology
Orbitals
Perturbation methods
Polar vortex
polar vortex weakening
Reduction
Relative density
satellite drag
Satellites
Solar activity
Stratosphere
stratospheric sudden warming
Temperature
Temperature effects
Thermosphere
total mass density
Upper thermosphere
Variability
vertical atmospheric coupling
Vortices
title Evidence for stratospheric sudden warming effects on the upper thermosphere derived from satellite orbital decay data during 1967-2013
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