Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy
China׳s external policies, including capital controls, managed exchange rates, and sterilized interventions, constrain its monetary policy options for maintaining macroeconomic stability following external shocks. We study optimal monetary policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) mo...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of monetary economics 2015-09, Vol.74, p.1-15 |
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creator | Chang, Chun Liu, Zheng Spiegel, Mark M. |
description | China׳s external policies, including capital controls, managed exchange rates, and sterilized interventions, constrain its monetary policy options for maintaining macroeconomic stability following external shocks. We study optimal monetary policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that incorporates these “Chinese characteristics”. The model highlights a monetary policy tradeoff between domestic price stability and costly sterilization. The same DSGE framework allows us to evaluate the welfare implications of alternative liberalization policies. Capital account and exchange rate liberalization would have allowed the Chinese central bank to better stabilize the external shocks experienced during the global financial crisis.
•Present a DSGE model for China featuring capital controls and sterilized intervention.•Central bank faces a tradeoff between sterilization costs and price stability.•Declines in foreign interest rates relative to domestic rates raise costs of sterilization.•Optimal policy response includes less sterilization and expansionary monetary policy.•Easing capital controls or letting exchange rate float improves welfare. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.04.003 |
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•Present a DSGE model for China featuring capital controls and sterilized intervention.•Central bank faces a tradeoff between sterilization costs and price stability.•Declines in foreign interest rates relative to domestic rates raise costs of sterilization.•Optimal policy response includes less sterilization and expansionary monetary policy.•Easing capital controls or letting exchange rate float improves welfare.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0304-3932</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1873-1295</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.04.003</identifier><identifier>CODEN: JMOEDW</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Amsterdam: Elsevier B.V</publisher><subject>Capital controls ; Central banks ; China ; Economic stability ; Economic stabilization ; Exchange rates ; Financial crisis ; Foreign exchange rates ; Liberalization ; Monetary policy ; Optimal policy ; Price stabilization ; Renminbi exchange rates ; Sterilization ; Stochastic models ; Studies</subject><ispartof>Journal of monetary economics, 2015-09, Vol.74, p.1-15</ispartof><rights>2015</rights><rights>Copyright Elsevier Sequoia S.A. Sep 2015</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c547t-845b0c456b112b11fa4c73b793b387e0b7429a80f18214ded22b7680f743bc9e3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c547t-845b0c456b112b11fa4c73b793b387e0b7429a80f18214ded22b7680f743bc9e3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-1931-5382</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.04.003$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,3550,27924,27925,45995</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Chang, Chun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Zheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Spiegel, Mark M.</creatorcontrib><title>Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy</title><title>Journal of monetary economics</title><description>China׳s external policies, including capital controls, managed exchange rates, and sterilized interventions, constrain its monetary policy options for maintaining macroeconomic stability following external shocks. We study optimal monetary policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that incorporates these “Chinese characteristics”. The model highlights a monetary policy tradeoff between domestic price stability and costly sterilization. The same DSGE framework allows us to evaluate the welfare implications of alternative liberalization policies. Capital account and exchange rate liberalization would have allowed the Chinese central bank to better stabilize the external shocks experienced during the global financial crisis.
•Present a DSGE model for China featuring capital controls and sterilized intervention.•Central bank faces a tradeoff between sterilization costs and price stability.•Declines in foreign interest rates relative to domestic rates raise costs of sterilization.•Optimal policy response includes less sterilization and expansionary monetary policy.•Easing capital controls or letting exchange rate float improves welfare.</description><subject>Capital controls</subject><subject>Central banks</subject><subject>China</subject><subject>Economic stability</subject><subject>Economic stabilization</subject><subject>Exchange rates</subject><subject>Financial crisis</subject><subject>Foreign exchange rates</subject><subject>Liberalization</subject><subject>Monetary policy</subject><subject>Optimal policy</subject><subject>Price stabilization</subject><subject>Renminbi exchange rates</subject><subject>Sterilization</subject><subject>Stochastic models</subject><subject>Studies</subject><issn>0304-3932</issn><issn>1873-1295</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2015</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqFkE1LxDAQhoMouK7-BKHgxUvr5KNNehIpfsGCFz2HNJ1iSrepSVfYf2-W9eTFwzDM8MzLvC8h1xQKCrS6G4ph6ye0vmBAywJEAcBPyIoqyXPK6vKUrICDyHnN2Tm5iHEAAFrLakVEY2a3mDGzflqCH2Nmpi7z8-K2adl8ugkjZgf5xYR9NvvR2f0lOevNGPHqt6_Jx9Pje_OSb96eX5uHTW5LIZdcibIFK8qqpZSl6o2wkrey5i1XEqGVgtVGQU8Vo6LDjrFWVmmWgre2Rr4mt0fdOfivHcZFb120OI5mQr-LmkqqQCngNKE3f9DB78KUvksUMFUl_yJR5ZGywccYsNdzSEbDXlPQhyz1oH-z1IcsNQidskx398c7TG6_HQYdrcPJYucC2kV33v2j8ANt_X26</recordid><startdate>20150901</startdate><enddate>20150901</enddate><creator>Chang, Chun</creator><creator>Liu, Zheng</creator><creator>Spiegel, Mark M.</creator><general>Elsevier B.V</general><general>Elsevier Sequoia S.A</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1931-5382</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20150901</creationdate><title>Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy</title><author>Chang, Chun ; Liu, Zheng ; Spiegel, Mark M.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c547t-845b0c456b112b11fa4c73b793b387e0b7429a80f18214ded22b7680f743bc9e3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2015</creationdate><topic>Capital controls</topic><topic>Central banks</topic><topic>China</topic><topic>Economic stability</topic><topic>Economic stabilization</topic><topic>Exchange rates</topic><topic>Financial crisis</topic><topic>Foreign exchange rates</topic><topic>Liberalization</topic><topic>Monetary policy</topic><topic>Optimal policy</topic><topic>Price stabilization</topic><topic>Renminbi exchange rates</topic><topic>Sterilization</topic><topic>Stochastic models</topic><topic>Studies</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chang, Chun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Liu, Zheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Spiegel, Mark M.</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>Journal of monetary economics</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Chang, Chun</au><au>Liu, Zheng</au><au>Spiegel, Mark M.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy</atitle><jtitle>Journal of monetary economics</jtitle><date>2015-09-01</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>74</volume><spage>1</spage><epage>15</epage><pages>1-15</pages><issn>0304-3932</issn><eissn>1873-1295</eissn><coden>JMOEDW</coden><abstract>China׳s external policies, including capital controls, managed exchange rates, and sterilized interventions, constrain its monetary policy options for maintaining macroeconomic stability following external shocks. We study optimal monetary policy in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that incorporates these “Chinese characteristics”. The model highlights a monetary policy tradeoff between domestic price stability and costly sterilization. The same DSGE framework allows us to evaluate the welfare implications of alternative liberalization policies. Capital account and exchange rate liberalization would have allowed the Chinese central bank to better stabilize the external shocks experienced during the global financial crisis.
•Present a DSGE model for China featuring capital controls and sterilized intervention.•Central bank faces a tradeoff between sterilization costs and price stability.•Declines in foreign interest rates relative to domestic rates raise costs of sterilization.•Optimal policy response includes less sterilization and expansionary monetary policy.•Easing capital controls or letting exchange rate float improves welfare.</abstract><cop>Amsterdam</cop><pub>Elsevier B.V</pub><doi>10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.04.003</doi><tpages>15</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1931-5382</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Capital controls Central banks China Economic stability Economic stabilization Exchange rates Financial crisis Foreign exchange rates Liberalization Monetary policy Optimal policy Price stabilization Renminbi exchange rates Sterilization Stochastic models Studies |
title | Capital controls and optimal Chinese monetary policy |
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