Futurescapes: evidence expectations in the USA for comparative effectiveness research for drugs in 2020

Explore key factors influencing future expectations for the production of evidence from comparative effectiveness research for drugs in the USA in 2020 and construct three plausible future scenarios. Semistructured key informant interviews and three rounds of modified Delphi with systematic scenario...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of comparative effectiveness research 2015-08, Vol.4 (4), p.385-400
Hauptverfasser: Messner, Donna A, Mohr, Penny, Towse, Adrian
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container_title Journal of comparative effectiveness research
container_volume 4
creator Messner, Donna A
Mohr, Penny
Towse, Adrian
description Explore key factors influencing future expectations for the production of evidence from comparative effectiveness research for drugs in the USA in 2020 and construct three plausible future scenarios. Semistructured key informant interviews and three rounds of modified Delphi with systematic scenario-building methods. Most influential key factors were: health delivery system integration; electronic health record development; exploitation of very large databases and mixed data sources; and proactive patient engagement in research. The scenario deemed most likely entailed uneven development of large integrated health systems with pockets of increased provider risk for patient care, enhanced data collection systems, changing incentives to do comparative effectiveness research and new opportunities for evidence generation partnerships.
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subjects comparative effectiveness research
Comparative Effectiveness Research - economics
Comparative Effectiveness Research - methods
Comparative Effectiveness Research - trends
data mining
database networks
Databases, Factual
Delivery of Health Care
Delphi Technique
drug development
Drug Discovery - economics
Drug Discovery - methods
Drug Discovery - trends
Electronic Health Records
Evidence-based medicine
Forecasts and trends
future scenarios
healthcare costs
healthcare integration
healthcare reform
Humans
Interviews as Topic
patient activism
Patient Participation
patient-centered outcomes research
Pharmaceutical research
Prescription Drugs - economics
research partnerships
risk-sharing
United States
title Futurescapes: evidence expectations in the USA for comparative effectiveness research for drugs in 2020
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