Changing the paradigm: Simulation, now a method of first resort

Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis...

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Veröffentlicht in:Naval research logistics 2015-06, Vol.62 (4), p.293-303
Hauptverfasser: Lucas, Thomas W., Kelton, W. David, Sánchez, Paul J., Sanchez, Susan M., Anderson, Ben L.
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container_end_page 303
container_issue 4
container_start_page 293
container_title Naval research logistics
container_volume 62
creator Lucas, Thomas W.
Kelton, W. David
Sánchez, Paul J.
Sanchez, Susan M.
Anderson, Ben L.
description Decades ago, simulation was famously characterized as a “method of last resort,” to which analysts should turn only “when all else fails.” In those intervening decades, the technologies supporting simulation—computing hardware, simulation‐modeling paradigms, simulation software, design‐and‐analysis methods—have all advanced dramatically. We offer an updated view that simulation is now a very appealing option for modeling and analysis. When applied properly, simulation can provide fully as much insight, with as much precision as desired, as can exact analytical methods that are based on more restrictive assumptions. The fundamental advantage of simulation is that it can tolerate far less restrictive modeling assumptions, leading to an underlying model that is more reflective of reality and thus more valid, leading to better decisions. Published 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 293–303, 2015
doi_str_mv 10.1002/nav.21628
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source Wiley Online Library - AutoHoldings Journals; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete
subjects analytical models
Computer programs
Computer simulation
design of experiments
future of simulation
Hardware
history of computing
last resort
Logistics
Mathematical analysis
Naval
Simulation
simulation analysis
simulation software
simulation-modeling paradigms
Software
title Changing the paradigm: Simulation, now a method of first resort
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