Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives
In this paper, we translate the five narratives as defined by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) research community into five alternative demographic scenarios using projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries up to 2100. The scenarios represent a significant step beyond p...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Population and environment 2014-03, Vol.35 (3), p.243-260 |
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| creator | KC, Samir Lutz, Wolfgang |
| description | In this paper, we translate the five narratives as defined by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) research community into five alternative demographic scenarios using projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries up to 2100. The scenarios represent a significant step beyond past population scenarios used in the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change context, which considered only population size. The definitions of the medium assumptions about future fertility, mortality, migration and education trends are taken from a major new projections effort by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, while the assumptions for all the other scenarios were defined in interactions with other groups in the SSP community. Since a full data base with all country-specific results is available online, this paper can only highlight selected results. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s11111-014-0205-4 |
| format | Article |
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Since a full data base with all country-specific results is available online, this paper can only highlight selected results.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0199-0039</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1573-7810</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11111-014-0205-4</identifier><identifier>CODEN: PENVDK</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Dordrecht: Springer Science+Business Media</publisher><subject>Age ; Alternative Approaches ; Censuses ; Climate change ; Communities ; Community Research ; Demographics ; Demography ; Economic growth ; Education ; Educational attainment ; Environment ; Environmental impact ; Fertility ; Forecasts ; GDP ; Gross Domestic Product ; Human Capital ; International ; Internet ; Migration ; Migration Patterns ; Mortality ; Mortality Rates ; PERSPECTIVES ; Population ; Population Economics ; Population education ; Population growth ; Population number ; Population size ; Predictions ; Public Health ; Social Sciences ; Sociodemographic Factors ; Socioeconomics ; Sociology ; Statistical analysis ; Systems analysis ; Trends ; World population</subject><ispartof>Population and environment, 2014-03, Vol.35 (3), p.243-260</ispartof><rights>Springer Science+Business Media 2014</rights><rights>Springer Science+Business Media New York 2014</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c404t-e62fb0bca6447e0a1d11f45963320873679244e6f23c43274c3c1879fbab88fa3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c404t-e62fb0bca6447e0a1d11f45963320873679244e6f23c43274c3c1879fbab88fa3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/24769545$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/24769545$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,799,27321,27901,27902,33751,33752,41464,42533,51294,57992,58225</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>KC, Samir</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lutz, Wolfgang</creatorcontrib><title>Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives</title><title>Population and environment</title><addtitle>Popul Environ</addtitle><description>In this paper, we translate the five narratives as defined by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) research community into five alternative demographic scenarios using projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries up to 2100. The scenarios represent a significant step beyond past population scenarios used in the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change context, which considered only population size. The definitions of the medium assumptions about future fertility, mortality, migration and education trends are taken from a major new projections effort by the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, while the assumptions for all the other scenarios were defined in interactions with other groups in the SSP community. Since a full data base with all country-specific results is available online, this paper can only highlight selected results.</description><subject>Age</subject><subject>Alternative Approaches</subject><subject>Censuses</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Communities</subject><subject>Community Research</subject><subject>Demographics</subject><subject>Demography</subject><subject>Economic growth</subject><subject>Education</subject><subject>Educational attainment</subject><subject>Environment</subject><subject>Environmental impact</subject><subject>Fertility</subject><subject>Forecasts</subject><subject>GDP</subject><subject>Gross Domestic Product</subject><subject>Human Capital</subject><subject>International</subject><subject>Internet</subject><subject>Migration</subject><subject>Migration Patterns</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>Mortality Rates</subject><subject>PERSPECTIVES</subject><subject>Population</subject><subject>Population Economics</subject><subject>Population education</subject><subject>Population growth</subject><subject>Population number</subject><subject>Population size</subject><subject>Predictions</subject><subject>Public Health</subject><subject>Social Sciences</subject><subject>Sociodemographic Factors</subject><subject>Socioeconomics</subject><subject>Sociology</subject><subject>Statistical analysis</subject><subject>Systems analysis</subject><subject>Trends</subject><subject>World 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Wolfgang</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives</atitle><jtitle>Population and environment</jtitle><stitle>Popul Environ</stitle><date>2014-03-01</date><risdate>2014</risdate><volume>35</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>243</spage><epage>260</epage><pages>243-260</pages><issn>0199-0039</issn><eissn>1573-7810</eissn><coden>PENVDK</coden><abstract>In this paper, we translate the five narratives as defined by the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) research community into five alternative demographic scenarios using projections by age, sex and level of education for 171 countries up to 2100. 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| ispartof | Population and environment, 2014-03, Vol.35 (3), p.243-260 |
| issn | 0199-0039 1573-7810 |
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| source | Jstor Complete Legacy; Sociological Abstracts; SpringerLink Journals - AutoHoldings |
| subjects | Age Alternative Approaches Censuses Climate change Communities Community Research Demographics Demography Economic growth Education Educational attainment Environment Environmental impact Fertility Forecasts GDP Gross Domestic Product Human Capital International Internet Migration Migration Patterns Mortality Mortality Rates PERSPECTIVES Population Population Economics Population education Population growth Population number Population size Predictions Public Health Social Sciences Sociodemographic Factors Socioeconomics Sociology Statistical analysis Systems analysis Trends World population |
| title | Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives |
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