Combining independent component analysis and growing hierarchical self-organizing maps with support vector regression in product demand forecasting

In the evaluation of supply chain process improvements, the question of how to predict product demand quantity and prepare material flows in order to reduce cycle time has emerged as an important issue, especially in the 3C (computer, communication, and consumer electronic) market. This paper constr...

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Veröffentlicht in:International journal of production economics 2010-12, Vol.128 (2), p.603-613
Hauptverfasser: Lu, Chi-Jie, Wang, Yen-Wen
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In the evaluation of supply chain process improvements, the question of how to predict product demand quantity and prepare material flows in order to reduce cycle time has emerged as an important issue, especially in the 3C (computer, communication, and consumer electronic) market. This paper constructs a predicting model to deal with the product demand forecast problem with the aid of a growing hierarchical self-organizing maps and independent component analysis. Independent component analysis method is used to detect and remove the noise of data and further improve the performance of predicting model, then growing hierarchical self-organizing maps is used to classify the data, and after the classification, support vector regression is applied to construct the product demand forecasting model. In the experimental results, the model proposed in this paper can be successfully applied in the forecasting problem.
ISSN:0925-5273
1873-7579
DOI:10.1016/j.ijpe.2010.07.004