Differences between the single‐event and frequency formats of seasonal‐climate‐forecast probability

ABSTRACT Since the late 1980s, Australian forecasters have used the seasonal climate forecast (SCF) statement In the next three months, the probability of getting above median rainfall is 30%. Study one (n = 63) established a baseline of whether laypersons interpreted this statement as forecasting w...

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Veröffentlicht in:	International journal of climatology 2015-03, Vol.35 (3), p.444-451
Hauptverfasser:	Coventry, W. L., Dalgleish, L. I.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Climate change frequency Probability Rain seasonal climate forecast single‐event
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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