Equity short selling and bond rating downgrades

We examine whether short sellers identify firms that have significant changes in default likelihoods and credit rating downgrades. In the month before a rating downgrade, equity short interest is 40% higher than one year prior. Short sellers predict changes in default probabilities that lead to down...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of financial intermediation 2015-01, Vol.24 (1), p.89-111
Hauptverfasser: Henry, Tyler R., Kisgen, Darren J., Wu, Juan (Julie)
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creator Henry, Tyler R.
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description We examine whether short sellers identify firms that have significant changes in default likelihoods and credit rating downgrades. In the month before a rating downgrade, equity short interest is 40% higher than one year prior. Short sellers predict changes in default probabilities that lead to downgrades by focusing on firms with inaccurate or biased ratings. This strategy is profitable for short sellers primarily since downgrades are associated with significantly negative equity returns. Short sellers also facilitate price discovery by reducing abnormal stock returns following downgrades and by leading bond yield spreads.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jfi.2014.02.005
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source Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete
subjects Bond ratings
Bonds
Credit rating
Credit spreads
Enterprises
Equity funds
Probability
Securities markets
Short sales
Stock returns
Studies
title Equity short selling and bond rating downgrades
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