Assessment of Future Water Scarcity at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales of the Brahmaputra River Basin

Climate change is one of the main driving forces that affect both the temporal and spatial variability of water availability. Besides climatic change, current demographic trends, economic development and related land use changes have direct impact on increasing demand for freshwater resources. Taken...

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Veröffentlicht in:Water resources management 2014-03, Vol.28 (4), p.999-1012
Hauptverfasser: Gain, Animesh K, Wada, Yoshihide
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creator Gain, Animesh K
Wada, Yoshihide
description Climate change is one of the main driving forces that affect both the temporal and spatial variability of water availability. Besides climatic change, current demographic trends, economic development and related land use changes have direct impact on increasing demand for freshwater resources. Taken together, the net effect of these supply and demand changes has led to a growing water scarcity in major international river basins. The Brahmaputra River Basin is one of the most vulnerable areas in the world, as it is subject to combined effect of climate change and development pressures. A robust assessment of water scarcity considering both climatic and socio-economic changes is therefore vital for policy makers of the basin. In this study, we analyze future water scarcity of the Brahmaputra Basin in a geographically and temporally detailed manner, incorporating several novel approaches: (i) the application of consistent set of scenarios to estimate future water scarcity; (ii) estimation of water demand in terms of both water withdrawals and consumptive water use; (iii) comparison of water demand and availability on different temporal scales i.e., yearly, seasonal and monthly rather than only annual basis. (iv) assessment of groundwater recharge affected by climate change together with future demands for groundwater abstraction. Although the Brahmaputra Basin is one of the water abundant regions of the world, our analysis illustrates that during dry season water scarcity for the Basin will become more severe in the coming decades, which requires special attention to the decision makers of the authority.
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subjects Assessments
Atmospheric Sciences
Availability
Basins
Civil Engineering
Climate change
Climate effects
Demand
Demand analysis
Demographics
Dry season
Earth and Environmental Science
Earth Sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Economic development
Economics
Environment
Exact sciences and technology
Food security
Freshwater
Freshwater resources
Geotechnical Engineering & Applied Earth Sciences
Groundwater
groundwater extraction
Groundwater recharge
Hydrogeology
Hydrology
Hydrology. Hydrogeology
Hydrology/Water Resources
Land use
land use change
Population growth
River basins
Rivers
Seasons
Studies
Supply & demand
supply balance
Surface water
Temporal logic
Water availability
Water demand
Water resources
Water scarcity
Water shortages
Water supply
Water use
watersheds
Wind
title Assessment of Future Water Scarcity at Different Spatial and Temporal Scales of the Brahmaputra River Basin
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