USE OF AUXILIARY DATA FOR SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OF OZONE EXPOSURE IN SOUTHEASTERN FORESTS

In order to assess the impact of tropospheric ozone on forests, it is necessary to quantify ozone exposure on regional scales. Since ozone monitoring stations are widely scattered and mostly concentrate in urban and suburban areas, some form of spatial interpolation is necessary to estimate ambient...

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Veröffentlicht in:Environmetrics (London, Ont.) Ont.), 1997-01, Vol.8 (1), p.43-61
Hauptverfasser: PHILLIPS, DONALD L., LEE, E. HENRY, HERSTROM, ANDREW A., HOGSETT, WILLIAM E., TINGEY, DAVID T.
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container_title Environmetrics (London, Ont.)
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LEE, E. HENRY
HERSTROM, ANDREW A.
HOGSETT, WILLIAM E.
TINGEY, DAVID T.
description In order to assess the impact of tropospheric ozone on forests, it is necessary to quantify ozone exposure on regional scales. Since ozone monitoring stations are widely scattered and mostly concentrate in urban and suburban areas, some form of spatial interpolation is necessary to estimate ambient air quality at non‐monitored forested sites. This paper examines four different interpolation procedures for estimating ozone exposure as quantified by the SUM06 index (sum of hourly concentrations at or above 0.06 ppm) for July 1988 within the geographic range of loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) in the southeastern United States. The first three methods, inverse distance weighting (INVD), inverse distance squared weighting (INVD2), and ordinary kriging, are routinely used interpolators. In addition, we examined the use of cokriging, a geostatistical procedure which utilizes additional information from correlated auxiliary variables to aid in estimation, with a synthetic ozone exposure potential index (EPI). This index incorporated monthly data on anthropogenic emissions of nitrous oxides (NOx), average daily maximum temperature, wind directional frequencies, and distance downwind from anthropogenic NOx sources. The EPI index had a correlation coefficient of 0.626 with monitored SUM06 measurements. Cross‐validation indicated that the accuracy and precision of the interpolators increased in the order: INVD 
doi_str_mv 10.1002/(SICI)1099-095X(199701)8:1<43::AID-ENV237>3.0.CO;2-G
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The first three methods, inverse distance weighting (INVD), inverse distance squared weighting (INVD2), and ordinary kriging, are routinely used interpolators. In addition, we examined the use of cokriging, a geostatistical procedure which utilizes additional information from correlated auxiliary variables to aid in estimation, with a synthetic ozone exposure potential index (EPI). This index incorporated monthly data on anthropogenic emissions of nitrous oxides (NOx), average daily maximum temperature, wind directional frequencies, and distance downwind from anthropogenic NOx sources. The EPI index had a correlation coefficient of 0.626 with monitored SUM06 measurements. Cross‐validation indicated that the accuracy and precision of the interpolators increased in the order: INVD &lt; INVD2 &lt; ordinary kriging &lt; cokriging. Cokriging with EPI exhibited 44–62 per cent lower mean error, 0–10 per cent lower mean absolute error, 6–14 per cent lower error standard deviation, and 4–10 per cent higher predicted versus observed r2 values than the other three methods. These results show the potential for use of additional covariate data for prediction of ozone exposure in forested areas. However, increased monitoring of forested areas is needed to more adequately characterize forest exposure to ozone and its consequences. © 1997 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1180-4009</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1099-095X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-095X(199701)8:1&lt;43::AID-ENV237&gt;3.0.CO;2-G</identifier><identifier>CODEN: ENVCEE</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Chichester, UK: John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd</publisher><subject>cokriging ; Earth sciences ; Earth, ocean, space ; Engineering and environment geology. 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This paper examines four different interpolation procedures for estimating ozone exposure as quantified by the SUM06 index (sum of hourly concentrations at or above 0.06 ppm) for July 1988 within the geographic range of loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) in the southeastern United States. The first three methods, inverse distance weighting (INVD), inverse distance squared weighting (INVD2), and ordinary kriging, are routinely used interpolators. In addition, we examined the use of cokriging, a geostatistical procedure which utilizes additional information from correlated auxiliary variables to aid in estimation, with a synthetic ozone exposure potential index (EPI). This index incorporated monthly data on anthropogenic emissions of nitrous oxides (NOx), average daily maximum temperature, wind directional frequencies, and distance downwind from anthropogenic NOx sources. The EPI index had a correlation coefficient of 0.626 with monitored SUM06 measurements. 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Geothermics</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>geostatistics</topic><topic>interpolation</topic><topic>loblolly pine</topic><topic>ozone</topic><topic>Pinus taeda</topic><topic>Pollution, environment geology</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>PHILLIPS, DONALD L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LEE, E. HENRY</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>HERSTROM, ANDREW A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>HOGSETT, WILLIAM E.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>TINGEY, DAVID T.</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Pollution Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><jtitle>Environmetrics (London, Ont.)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>PHILLIPS, DONALD L.</au><au>LEE, E. 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This paper examines four different interpolation procedures for estimating ozone exposure as quantified by the SUM06 index (sum of hourly concentrations at or above 0.06 ppm) for July 1988 within the geographic range of loblolly pine (Pinus taeda L.) in the southeastern United States. The first three methods, inverse distance weighting (INVD), inverse distance squared weighting (INVD2), and ordinary kriging, are routinely used interpolators. In addition, we examined the use of cokriging, a geostatistical procedure which utilizes additional information from correlated auxiliary variables to aid in estimation, with a synthetic ozone exposure potential index (EPI). This index incorporated monthly data on anthropogenic emissions of nitrous oxides (NOx), average daily maximum temperature, wind directional frequencies, and distance downwind from anthropogenic NOx sources. The EPI index had a correlation coefficient of 0.626 with monitored SUM06 measurements. Cross‐validation indicated that the accuracy and precision of the interpolators increased in the order: INVD &lt; INVD2 &lt; ordinary kriging &lt; cokriging. Cokriging with EPI exhibited 44–62 per cent lower mean error, 0–10 per cent lower mean absolute error, 6–14 per cent lower error standard deviation, and 4–10 per cent higher predicted versus observed r2 values than the other three methods. These results show the potential for use of additional covariate data for prediction of ozone exposure in forested areas. However, increased monitoring of forested areas is needed to more adequately characterize forest exposure to ozone and its consequences. © 1997 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.</abstract><cop>Chichester, UK</cop><pub>John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd</pub><doi>10.1002/(SICI)1099-095X(199701)8:1&lt;43::AID-ENV237&gt;3.0.CO;2-G</doi><tpages>19</tpages></addata></record>
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects cokriging
Earth sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Engineering and environment geology. Geothermics
Exact sciences and technology
geostatistics
interpolation
loblolly pine
ozone
Pinus taeda
Pollution, environment geology
title USE OF AUXILIARY DATA FOR SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OF OZONE EXPOSURE IN SOUTHEASTERN FORESTS
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