Bayes' Theorem in the 21st Century
Bayes' theorem plays an increasingly prominent role in statistical applications but remains controversial among statisticians. The term "controversial theorem" sounds like an oxymoron, but Bayes' theorem has played this part for two-and-a-half centuries. Twice it has soared to sc...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science) 2013-06, Vol.340 (6137), p.1177-1178 |
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| creator | Efron, Bradley |
| description | Bayes' theorem plays an increasingly prominent role in statistical applications but remains controversial among statisticians.
The term "controversial theorem" sounds like an oxymoron, but Bayes' theorem has played this part for two-and-a-half centuries. Twice it has soared to scientific celebrity, twice it has crashed, and it is currently enjoying another boom. The theorem itself is a landmark of logical reasoning and the first serious triumph of statistical inference, yet is still treated with suspicion by most statisticians. There are reasons to believe in the staying power of its current popularity, but also some signs of trouble ahead. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1126/science.1236536 |
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| ispartof | Science (American Association for the Advancement of Science), 2013-06, Vol.340 (6137), p.1177-1178 |
| issn | 0036-8075 1095-9203 |
| language | eng |
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| source | JSTOR Archive Collection A-Z Listing; American Association for the Advancement of Science |
| subjects | Acoustics Bayes theorem Bayesian analysis Boom Empirical evidence Inference Landmarks Logical theorems Mathematical theorems PERSPECTIVES Reasoning Science Scientific method Statistical theories Statistics Theorems Twins |
| title | Bayes' Theorem in the 21st Century |
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