Real Wages and Unemployment in the Big Squeeze

UK real wage growth has slowed down, stagnated and recently turned sharply negative. We document the nature of real wage changes across the wage distribution over the last three decades, showing that recent patterns represent a distinct break of trend that pre-dates the onset of recession. We explor...

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Veröffentlicht in:The Economic journal (London) 2014-05, Vol.124 (576), p.408-432
Hauptverfasser: Gregg, Paul, Machin, Stephen, Fernández-Salgado, Mariña
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container_title The Economic journal (London)
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creator Gregg, Paul
Machin, Stephen
Fernández-Salgado, Mariña
description UK real wage growth has slowed down, stagnated and recently turned sharply negative. We document the nature of real wage changes across the wage distribution over the last three decades, showing that recent patterns represent a distinct break of trend that pre-dates the onset of recession. We explore whether unemployment has become a stronger moderating influence on real wage growth and report, using aggregate economy-wide and regional panel data, that real wage-unemployment sensitivities have become stronger in the period from 2003 onwards. Finally, we offer some assessment of possible drivers of this increased sensitivity of real wages to unemployment.
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; EBSCOhost Business Source Complete; Jstor Complete Legacy; Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current)
subjects Distribution
Documents
Economic deflation
Economic recessions
Economic trends
Employment
Growth models
Labor markets
Panel data
Real wages
Recession
Sample size
Stagnation
Studies
Unemployment
Unemployment rates
United Kingdom
Wages
Wages & salaries
title Real Wages and Unemployment in the Big Squeeze
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