Data based quest for solar wind-magnetosphere coupling function

The NARMAX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs) modeling based approach is used to identify the relations for Solar wind Magnetosphere Coupling Functions in order to identify the one with the best Dst index forecasting abilities. It is argued that the Error Reduction Ratio...

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Veröffentlicht in:Geophysical research letters 2010-12, Vol.37 (24), p.np-n/a
Hauptverfasser: Balikhin, M. A., Boynton, R. J., Billings, S. A., Gedalin, M., Ganushkina, N., Coca, D., Wei, H.
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container_issue 24
container_start_page np
container_title Geophysical research letters
container_volume 37
creator Balikhin, M. A.
Boynton, R. J.
Billings, S. A.
Gedalin, M.
Ganushkina, N.
Coca, D.
Wei, H.
description The NARMAX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous inputs) modeling based approach is used to identify the relations for Solar wind Magnetosphere Coupling Functions in order to identify the one with the best Dst index forecasting abilities. It is argued that the Error Reduction Ratio which is a cornerstone concept in the NARMAX system identification methodology is more appropriate for such nonlinear system as the terrestrial magnetosphere than correlation function analysis which has often been used in the past. It is shown that the identified relationships for coupling functions are proportional to , where is the clock angle, and not to as was suggested in earlier studies. It is shown that the factor appears naturally within the analytical model of Kan and Lee (1979) as the dependence on the clock angle.
doi_str_mv 10.1029/2010GL045733
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source Wiley-Blackwell AGU Digital Library; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Wiley Online Library Free Content; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals
subjects Atmospheric sciences
Clocks
Complex systems
Dynamical systems
Earth sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Exact sciences and technology
Geophysics
Joining
Magnetism
Mathematical analysis
Mathematical models
Nonlinear systems
Nonlinearity
Scientific apparatus & instruments
solar wind-magnetosphere coupling
System identification
title Data based quest for solar wind-magnetosphere coupling function
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