Association of meteorological factors with childhood viral acute respiratory infections in subtropical China: an analysis over 11 years
The objective of this study was to obtain a better understanding of the effects of meteorological factors on the prevalence and seasonality of common respiratory viruses in China, which has a subtropical climate. A retrospective study was conducted by identifying children admitted to a hospital with...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Archives of virology 2014-04, Vol.159 (4), p.631-639 |
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| creator | Chen, Zhengrong Zhu, Yan Wang, Yuqing Zhou, Weifang Yan, Yongdong Zhu, Canhong Zhang, Xuelan Sun, Huipeng Ji, Wei |
| description | The objective of this study was to obtain a better understanding of the effects of meteorological factors on the prevalence and seasonality of common respiratory viruses in China, which has a subtropical climate. A retrospective study was conducted by identifying children admitted to a hospital with acute respiratory infections due to seven common viruses between January 2001 and December 2011. A total of 42,104 nasopharyngeal samples were tested for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza A and B viruses (IV-A and IV-B), parainfluenza viruses 1-3 (PIV-1, PIV-2, PIV-3), and adenovirus (ADV) by direct immunofluorescence assay. Meteorological data were obtained from Suzhou Weather Bureau. Correlations of viral prevalence with meteorological factors were evaluated using Spearman rank correlation and partial correlation. Multivariate time-series analysis including an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and generalized linear Poisson models was conducted to study the effect of meteorological factors on the prevalence of respiratory virus infection. RSV and IV-A activity showed distinctive winter peak, whereas PIV-3 and ADV peaked in the summer. Incidence of RSV was correlated with low environmental temperature, and PIV-3 only with high temperature. IV-A activity was correlated with both low temperature and high relative humidity. ADV activity was correlated with high total rainfall. In the ARIMA model, RSV-associated hospitalizations were predictable, and the monthly number of RSV cases decreased by 11.25 % (95 % CI: 5.34 % to 16.79 %) for every 1 °C increase in the average temperature. Seasonality of certain respiratory virus may be explained by meteorological influences. The impact of meteorological factors on the prevalence of RSV may be useful for predicting the activity of this virus. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s00705-013-1863-8 |
| format | Article |
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A retrospective study was conducted by identifying children admitted to a hospital with acute respiratory infections due to seven common viruses between January 2001 and December 2011. A total of 42,104 nasopharyngeal samples were tested for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza A and B viruses (IV-A and IV-B), parainfluenza viruses 1-3 (PIV-1, PIV-2, PIV-3), and adenovirus (ADV) by direct immunofluorescence assay. Meteorological data were obtained from Suzhou Weather Bureau. Correlations of viral prevalence with meteorological factors were evaluated using Spearman rank correlation and partial correlation. Multivariate time-series analysis including an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and generalized linear Poisson models was conducted to study the effect of meteorological factors on the prevalence of respiratory virus infection. RSV and IV-A activity showed distinctive winter peak, whereas PIV-3 and ADV peaked in the summer. Incidence of RSV was correlated with low environmental temperature, and PIV-3 only with high temperature. IV-A activity was correlated with both low temperature and high relative humidity. ADV activity was correlated with high total rainfall. In the ARIMA model, RSV-associated hospitalizations were predictable, and the monthly number of RSV cases decreased by 11.25 % (95 % CI: 5.34 % to 16.79 %) for every 1 °C increase in the average temperature. Seasonality of certain respiratory virus may be explained by meteorological influences. The impact of meteorological factors on the prevalence of RSV may be useful for predicting the activity of this virus.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0304-8608</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-8798</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00705-013-1863-8</identifier><identifier>PMID: 24114148</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Vienna: Springer-Verlag</publisher><subject>Adenovirus ; Adenoviruses ; Adolescent ; ambient temperature ; Biomedical and Life Sciences ; Biomedicine ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; childhood ; children ; China - epidemiology ; Climate ; Epidemics ; Female ; fluorescent antibody technique ; Humans ; Humidity ; Incidence ; Infant ; Infections ; Infectious Diseases ; influenza ; Male ; Medical Microbiology ; Meteorological Concepts ; meteorological data ; Nasopharynx - virology ; Original Article ; prediction ; Prevalence ; Rain ; relative humidity ; Respiratory syncytial virus ; Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology ; Retrospective Studies ; Seasonal variations ; Seasons ; subtropics ; summer ; Temperature ; Tropical Climate ; Virology ; Viruses ; Viruses - classification ; Viruses - isolation & purification ; Winter</subject><ispartof>Archives of virology, 2014-04, Vol.159 (4), p.631-639</ispartof><rights>Springer-Verlag Wien 2013</rights><rights>Springer-Verlag Wien 2014</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c472t-8623001eb3ceb7faae42e96e6f852a62aae8482e295ff9bf42c2bd6434e8344a3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c472t-8623001eb3ceb7faae42e96e6f852a62aae8482e295ff9bf42c2bd6434e8344a3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00705-013-1863-8$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00705-013-1863-8$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925,41488,42557,51319</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24114148$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Chen, Zhengrong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Yan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Yuqing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Weifang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yan, Yongdong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Canhong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xuelan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sun, Huipeng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ji, Wei</creatorcontrib><title>Association of meteorological factors with childhood viral acute respiratory infections in subtropical China: an analysis over 11 years</title><title>Archives of virology</title><addtitle>Arch Virol</addtitle><addtitle>Arch Virol</addtitle><description>The objective of this study was to obtain a better understanding of the effects of meteorological factors on the prevalence and seasonality of common respiratory viruses in China, which has a subtropical climate. A retrospective study was conducted by identifying children admitted to a hospital with acute respiratory infections due to seven common viruses between January 2001 and December 2011. A total of 42,104 nasopharyngeal samples were tested for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza A and B viruses (IV-A and IV-B), parainfluenza viruses 1-3 (PIV-1, PIV-2, PIV-3), and adenovirus (ADV) by direct immunofluorescence assay. Meteorological data were obtained from Suzhou Weather Bureau. Correlations of viral prevalence with meteorological factors were evaluated using Spearman rank correlation and partial correlation. Multivariate time-series analysis including an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and generalized linear Poisson models was conducted to study the effect of meteorological factors on the prevalence of respiratory virus infection. RSV and IV-A activity showed distinctive winter peak, whereas PIV-3 and ADV peaked in the summer. Incidence of RSV was correlated with low environmental temperature, and PIV-3 only with high temperature. IV-A activity was correlated with both low temperature and high relative humidity. ADV activity was correlated with high total rainfall. In the ARIMA model, RSV-associated hospitalizations were predictable, and the monthly number of RSV cases decreased by 11.25 % (95 % CI: 5.34 % to 16.79 %) for every 1 °C increase in the average temperature. Seasonality of certain respiratory virus may be explained by meteorological influences. The impact of meteorological factors on the prevalence of RSV may be useful for predicting the activity of this virus.</description><subject>Adenovirus</subject><subject>Adenoviruses</subject><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>ambient temperature</subject><subject>Biomedical and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Biomedicine</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Child, Preschool</subject><subject>childhood</subject><subject>children</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Climate</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>fluorescent antibody technique</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Humidity</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Infant</subject><subject>Infections</subject><subject>Infectious Diseases</subject><subject>influenza</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical Microbiology</subject><subject>Meteorological Concepts</subject><subject>meteorological data</subject><subject>Nasopharynx - virology</subject><subject>Original Article</subject><subject>prediction</subject><subject>Prevalence</subject><subject>Rain</subject><subject>relative humidity</subject><subject>Respiratory syncytial virus</subject><subject>Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Seasonal variations</subject><subject>Seasons</subject><subject>subtropics</subject><subject>summer</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>Tropical Climate</subject><subject>Virology</subject><subject>Viruses</subject><subject>Viruses - classification</subject><subject>Viruses - isolation & purification</subject><subject>Winter</subject><issn>0304-8608</issn><issn>1432-8798</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2014</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><sourceid>ABUWG</sourceid><sourceid>AFKRA</sourceid><sourceid>AZQEC</sourceid><sourceid>BENPR</sourceid><sourceid>CCPQU</sourceid><sourceid>DWQXO</sourceid><sourceid>GNUQQ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkk2LFDEQhoMo7uzqD_CiAS97aa18dHfa2zL4BQsedM8hnanMZOnpjKnulfkF_m0z9iriQYRQSaqeekPxhrFnAl4JgPY1lQB1BUJVwjSqMg_YSmglK9N25iFbgQJdmQbMGTsnugUoCVU_ZmdSC6GFNiv2_Yoo-eimmEaeAt_jhCmnIW2jdwMPzk8pE_8Wpx33uzhsdilt-F3Mpej8PCHPSIdyLdiRxzGgP0lROXKa-ymnw0-h9S6O7g13Y1luOFIknu4wcyH4EV2mJ-xRcAPh0_v9gt28e_tl_aG6_vT-4_rquvK6lVMZRioAgb3y2LfBOdQSuwabYGrpGlkSRhuJsqtD6PqgpZf9ptFKo1FaO3XBLhfdQ05fZ6TJ7iN5HAY3YprJilo0rS5B_w8qjISug4K-_Au9TXMugy4UGOgaUyixUD4noozBHnLcu3y0AuzJULsYaouh9mSoPfU8v1ee-z1ufnf8crAAcgGolMYt5j-e_ofqi6UpuGTdNkeyN58lCF2-SKM7qNUPqDm1rg</recordid><startdate>20140401</startdate><enddate>20140401</enddate><creator>Chen, Zhengrong</creator><creator>Zhu, Yan</creator><creator>Wang, Yuqing</creator><creator>Zhou, Weifang</creator><creator>Yan, Yongdong</creator><creator>Zhu, Canhong</creator><creator>Zhang, Xuelan</creator><creator>Sun, Huipeng</creator><creator>Ji, Wei</creator><general>Springer-Verlag</general><general>Springer Vienna</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>FBQ</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>3V.</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>7TM</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>7X7</scope><scope>7XB</scope><scope>88A</scope><scope>88E</scope><scope>8AO</scope><scope>8C1</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>8FE</scope><scope>8FH</scope><scope>8FI</scope><scope>8FJ</scope><scope>8FK</scope><scope>ABUWG</scope><scope>AFKRA</scope><scope>AZQEC</scope><scope>BBNVY</scope><scope>BENPR</scope><scope>BHPHI</scope><scope>CCPQU</scope><scope>DWQXO</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>FYUFA</scope><scope>GHDGH</scope><scope>GNUQQ</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>HCIFZ</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>LK8</scope><scope>M0S</scope><scope>M1P</scope><scope>M7P</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>PQEST</scope><scope>PQQKQ</scope><scope>PQUKI</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>7TG</scope><scope>KL.</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20140401</creationdate><title>Association of meteorological factors with childhood viral acute respiratory infections in subtropical China: an analysis over 11 years</title><author>Chen, Zhengrong ; Zhu, Yan ; Wang, Yuqing ; Zhou, Weifang ; Yan, Yongdong ; Zhu, Canhong ; Zhang, Xuelan ; Sun, Huipeng ; Ji, Wei</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c472t-8623001eb3ceb7faae42e96e6f852a62aae8482e295ff9bf42c2bd6434e8344a3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2014</creationdate><topic>Adenovirus</topic><topic>Adenoviruses</topic><topic>Adolescent</topic><topic>ambient temperature</topic><topic>Biomedical and Life Sciences</topic><topic>Biomedicine</topic><topic>Child</topic><topic>Child, Preschool</topic><topic>childhood</topic><topic>children</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Climate</topic><topic>Epidemics</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>fluorescent antibody technique</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Humidity</topic><topic>Incidence</topic><topic>Infant</topic><topic>Infections</topic><topic>Infectious Diseases</topic><topic>influenza</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical Microbiology</topic><topic>Meteorological Concepts</topic><topic>meteorological data</topic><topic>Nasopharynx - virology</topic><topic>Original Article</topic><topic>prediction</topic><topic>Prevalence</topic><topic>Rain</topic><topic>relative humidity</topic><topic>Respiratory syncytial virus</topic><topic>Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Seasonal variations</topic><topic>Seasons</topic><topic>subtropics</topic><topic>summer</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><topic>Tropical Climate</topic><topic>Virology</topic><topic>Viruses</topic><topic>Viruses - classification</topic><topic>Viruses - isolation & purification</topic><topic>Winter</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chen, Zhengrong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Yan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Yuqing</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Weifang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yan, Yongdong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Canhong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xuelan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sun, Huipeng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ji, Wei</creatorcontrib><collection>AGRIS</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>Nucleic Acids Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>Biology Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Pharma Collection</collection><collection>Public Health Database</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>ProQuest SciTech Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection</collection><collection>Hospital Premium Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni) (purchase pre-March 2016)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central UK/Ireland</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Essentials</collection><collection>Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Central</collection><collection>Natural Science Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest One Community College</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Korea</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection</collection><collection>Health Research Premium Collection (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Central Student</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>SciTech Premium Collection</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>ProQuest Biological Science Collection</collection><collection>Health & Medical Collection (Alumni Edition)</collection><collection>Medical Database</collection><collection>Biological Science Database</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic Eastern Edition (DO NOT USE)</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic</collection><collection>ProQuest One Academic UKI Edition</collection><collection>Genetics Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts</collection><collection>Meteorological & Geoastrophysical Abstracts - Academic</collection><jtitle>Archives of virology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Chen, Zhengrong</au><au>Zhu, Yan</au><au>Wang, Yuqing</au><au>Zhou, Weifang</au><au>Yan, Yongdong</au><au>Zhu, Canhong</au><au>Zhang, Xuelan</au><au>Sun, Huipeng</au><au>Ji, Wei</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Association of meteorological factors with childhood viral acute respiratory infections in subtropical China: an analysis over 11 years</atitle><jtitle>Archives of virology</jtitle><stitle>Arch Virol</stitle><addtitle>Arch Virol</addtitle><date>2014-04-01</date><risdate>2014</risdate><volume>159</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>631</spage><epage>639</epage><pages>631-639</pages><issn>0304-8608</issn><eissn>1432-8798</eissn><abstract>The objective of this study was to obtain a better understanding of the effects of meteorological factors on the prevalence and seasonality of common respiratory viruses in China, which has a subtropical climate. A retrospective study was conducted by identifying children admitted to a hospital with acute respiratory infections due to seven common viruses between January 2001 and December 2011. A total of 42,104 nasopharyngeal samples were tested for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), influenza A and B viruses (IV-A and IV-B), parainfluenza viruses 1-3 (PIV-1, PIV-2, PIV-3), and adenovirus (ADV) by direct immunofluorescence assay. Meteorological data were obtained from Suzhou Weather Bureau. Correlations of viral prevalence with meteorological factors were evaluated using Spearman rank correlation and partial correlation. Multivariate time-series analysis including an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and generalized linear Poisson models was conducted to study the effect of meteorological factors on the prevalence of respiratory virus infection. RSV and IV-A activity showed distinctive winter peak, whereas PIV-3 and ADV peaked in the summer. Incidence of RSV was correlated with low environmental temperature, and PIV-3 only with high temperature. IV-A activity was correlated with both low temperature and high relative humidity. ADV activity was correlated with high total rainfall. In the ARIMA model, RSV-associated hospitalizations were predictable, and the monthly number of RSV cases decreased by 11.25 % (95 % CI: 5.34 % to 16.79 %) for every 1 °C increase in the average temperature. Seasonality of certain respiratory virus may be explained by meteorological influences. The impact of meteorological factors on the prevalence of RSV may be useful for predicting the activity of this virus.</abstract><cop>Vienna</cop><pub>Springer-Verlag</pub><pmid>24114148</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00705-013-1863-8</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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| subjects | Adenovirus Adenoviruses Adolescent ambient temperature Biomedical and Life Sciences Biomedicine Child Child, Preschool childhood children China - epidemiology Climate Epidemics Female fluorescent antibody technique Humans Humidity Incidence Infant Infections Infectious Diseases influenza Male Medical Microbiology Meteorological Concepts meteorological data Nasopharynx - virology Original Article prediction Prevalence Rain relative humidity Respiratory syncytial virus Respiratory Tract Infections - epidemiology Retrospective Studies Seasonal variations Seasons subtropics summer Temperature Tropical Climate Virology Viruses Viruses - classification Viruses - isolation & purification Winter |
| title | Association of meteorological factors with childhood viral acute respiratory infections in subtropical China: an analysis over 11 years |
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