Precursory seismic quiescence: a preliminary assessment of the hypothesis

The authors have analyzed the seismicity rate prior to, and in the source region of, 37 shallow earthquakes (M 5.3-7.0) in central California and Japan for patterns of rate fluctuation, especially precursory quiescence. Nonuniformity in rate for these pre-mainshock sequences is relatively high, and...

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Veröffentlicht in:Pure and Applied Geophysics 1988-01, Vol.126 (2-4), p.373-406
Hauptverfasser: REASENBERG, P. A, MATTHEWS, M. V
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description The authors have analyzed the seismicity rate prior to, and in the source region of, 37 shallow earthquakes (M 5.3-7.0) in central California and Japan for patterns of rate fluctuation, especially precursory quiescence. Nonuniformity in rate for these pre-mainshock sequences is relatively high, and numerous intervals with significant (p < 0.10) extrema in rate are observed in some of the sequences. In other sequences, however, the rate remains within normal limits up to the time of the mainshock. Overall, in terms of an observational basis for intermediate-term earthquake prediction, no evidence is found in the cases studied for a systematic, widespread, or reliable pattern of quiescence prior to the mainshocks.
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subjects Earth sciences
Earth, ocean, space
Engineering and environment geology. Geothermics
Exact sciences and technology
title Precursory seismic quiescence: a preliminary assessment of the hypothesis
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