Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species
Climate change can cause major changes to the dynamics of individual species and to those communities in which they interact. One effect of increasing temperatures is on insect voltinism, with the logical assumption that increases in surface temperatures would permit multivoltine species to increase...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Global change biology 2008-05, Vol.14 (5), p.951-957 |
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| container_title | Global change biology |
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| creator | TOBIN, PATRICK C NAGARKATTI, SUDHA LOEB, GREG SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C |
| description | Climate change can cause major changes to the dynamics of individual species and to those communities in which they interact. One effect of increasing temperatures is on insect voltinism, with the logical assumption that increases in surface temperatures would permit multivoltine species to increase the number of generations per year. Though insect development is primarily driven by temperature, most multivoltine insect species rely on photoperiodic cues, which do not change from year-to-year or in response to climate warming, to initiate diapause. Thus, the relationship between climate change and voltinism could be complex. We use a phenology model for grape berry moth, Paralobesia viteana (Clemens), which incorporates temperature-dependent development and diapause termination, and photoperiod-dependent diapause induction, to explore historical patterns in year-to-year voltinism fluctuations. We then extend this model to predict voltinism under varying scenarios of climate change to show the importance of both the quality and quantity of accumulated heat units. We also illustrate that increases in mean surface temperatures > 2 °C can have dramatic effects on insect voltinism by causing a shift in the ovipositional period that currently is subject to diapause-inducing photoperiods. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01561.x |
| format | Article |
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We also illustrate that increases in mean surface temperatures > 2 °C can have dramatic effects on insect voltinism by causing a shift in the ovipositional period that currently is subject to diapause-inducing photoperiods.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1354-1013</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1365-2486</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01561.x</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford, UK: Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Animal and plant ecology ; Animal, plant and microbial ecology ; Biological and medical sciences ; Butterflies & moths ; Climate change ; Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change ; diapause ; Earth, ocean, space ; Ecology ; Endopiza viteana ; Exact sciences and technology ; External geophysics ; Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology ; General aspects ; global warming ; heat sums ; insect development ; insect population dynamics ; Insects ; Meteorology ; multivoltine habit ; oviposition ; phenology ; phenology model ; photoperiod ; photoperiodism ; population dynamics ; prediction ; seasonal variation ; seasonality ; surface temperature ; Temperature ; voltinism</subject><ispartof>Global change biology, 2008-05, Vol.14 (5), p.951-957</ispartof><rights>2008 The Authors</rights><rights>2008 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Journal compilation © 2008 Blackwell Publishing Ltd</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5291-43bb4963ebc3375202e4e8c400912e238b5a40d56bb95a1adb87ef5851e9ea503</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c5291-43bb4963ebc3375202e4e8c400912e238b5a40d56bb95a1adb87ef5851e9ea503</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2486.2008.01561.x$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2486.2008.01561.x$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,27924,27925,45574,45575</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=20297596$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>TOBIN, PATRICK C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>NAGARKATTI, SUDHA</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LOEB, GREG</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C</creatorcontrib><title>Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species</title><title>Global change biology</title><description>Climate change can cause major changes to the dynamics of individual species and to those communities in which they interact. One effect of increasing temperatures is on insect voltinism, with the logical assumption that increases in surface temperatures would permit multivoltine species to increase the number of generations per year. Though insect development is primarily driven by temperature, most multivoltine insect species rely on photoperiodic cues, which do not change from year-to-year or in response to climate warming, to initiate diapause. Thus, the relationship between climate change and voltinism could be complex. We use a phenology model for grape berry moth, Paralobesia viteana (Clemens), which incorporates temperature-dependent development and diapause termination, and photoperiod-dependent diapause induction, to explore historical patterns in year-to-year voltinism fluctuations. We then extend this model to predict voltinism under varying scenarios of climate change to show the importance of both the quality and quantity of accumulated heat units. We also illustrate that increases in mean surface temperatures > 2 °C can have dramatic effects on insect voltinism by causing a shift in the ovipositional period that currently is subject to diapause-inducing photoperiods.</description><subject>Animal and plant ecology</subject><subject>Animal, plant and microbial ecology</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Butterflies & moths</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change</subject><subject>diapause</subject><subject>Earth, ocean, space</subject><subject>Ecology</subject><subject>Endopiza viteana</subject><subject>Exact sciences and technology</subject><subject>External geophysics</subject><subject>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</subject><subject>General aspects</subject><subject>global warming</subject><subject>heat sums</subject><subject>insect development</subject><subject>insect population dynamics</subject><subject>Insects</subject><subject>Meteorology</subject><subject>multivoltine habit</subject><subject>oviposition</subject><subject>phenology</subject><subject>phenology model</subject><subject>photoperiod</subject><subject>photoperiodism</subject><subject>population dynamics</subject><subject>prediction</subject><subject>seasonal variation</subject><subject>seasonality</subject><subject>surface temperature</subject><subject>Temperature</subject><subject>voltinism</subject><issn>1354-1013</issn><issn>1365-2486</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2008</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqNUk1v1DAQjRCVKC2_AQsJbkn9neTAga5gi1QVQVtV6sVyvJPiNOts7Szd_nsmTbUHTvji8fi955k3zjLCaMFwnXQFE1rlXFa64JRWBWVKs2L3KjvcX7yeYiVzRpl4k71NqaOUCk71YXZ_5tM4RO9sT2xYkU0cOnAjrIgPI0TrRj-ERBoYHwECcb1f2xGI-23DHTwzfEhIIH-GfvTBpzUmiCXrLR7nHJC0AechHWcHre0TvHvZj7Lrb1-vFmf5-Y_l98WX89wpXrNciqaRtRbQOCFKxSkHCZWTlNaMAxdVo6ykK6WbplaW2VVTldCqSjGowSoqjrJPsy4287CFNJq1Tw763gYYtskwWcm6LCUCP_wD7IZtDFib4VRxTRnXCKpmkItDShFas4loQnwyjJppBKYzk9NmctpMIzDPIzA7pH580bcJDW6jDc6nPR87q0tVT098nnGPvoen_9Y3y8XpFCE_n_k4S9jt-TbeG12ihebmYml-il-X_Pb01kz49zO-tYOxdxFrur7k-DlQHD1mQvwFyPqypg</recordid><startdate>200805</startdate><enddate>200805</enddate><creator>TOBIN, PATRICK C</creator><creator>NAGARKATTI, SUDHA</creator><creator>LOEB, GREG</creator><creator>SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C</creator><general>Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>Blackwell</general><scope>FBQ</scope><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>F1W</scope><scope>H97</scope><scope>L.G</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>SOI</scope></search><sort><creationdate>200805</creationdate><title>Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species</title><author>TOBIN, PATRICK C ; NAGARKATTI, SUDHA ; LOEB, GREG ; SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c5291-43bb4963ebc3375202e4e8c400912e238b5a40d56bb95a1adb87ef5851e9ea503</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2008</creationdate><topic>Animal and plant ecology</topic><topic>Animal, plant and microbial ecology</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Butterflies & moths</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change</topic><topic>diapause</topic><topic>Earth, ocean, space</topic><topic>Ecology</topic><topic>Endopiza viteana</topic><topic>Exact sciences and technology</topic><topic>External geophysics</topic><topic>Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology</topic><topic>General aspects</topic><topic>global warming</topic><topic>heat sums</topic><topic>insect development</topic><topic>insect population dynamics</topic><topic>Insects</topic><topic>Meteorology</topic><topic>multivoltine habit</topic><topic>oviposition</topic><topic>phenology</topic><topic>phenology model</topic><topic>photoperiod</topic><topic>photoperiodism</topic><topic>population dynamics</topic><topic>prediction</topic><topic>seasonal variation</topic><topic>seasonality</topic><topic>surface temperature</topic><topic>Temperature</topic><topic>voltinism</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>TOBIN, PATRICK C</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>NAGARKATTI, SUDHA</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>LOEB, GREG</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C</creatorcontrib><collection>AGRIS</collection><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Ecology Abstracts</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>ASFA: Aquatic Sciences and Fisheries Abstracts</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) 3: Aquatic Pollution & Environmental Quality</collection><collection>Aquatic Science & Fisheries Abstracts (ASFA) Professional</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Global change biology</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>TOBIN, PATRICK C</au><au>NAGARKATTI, SUDHA</au><au>LOEB, GREG</au><au>SAUNDERS, MICHAEL C</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species</atitle><jtitle>Global change biology</jtitle><date>2008-05</date><risdate>2008</risdate><volume>14</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>951</spage><epage>957</epage><pages>951-957</pages><issn>1354-1013</issn><eissn>1365-2486</eissn><abstract>Climate change can cause major changes to the dynamics of individual species and to those communities in which they interact. One effect of increasing temperatures is on insect voltinism, with the logical assumption that increases in surface temperatures would permit multivoltine species to increase the number of generations per year. Though insect development is primarily driven by temperature, most multivoltine insect species rely on photoperiodic cues, which do not change from year-to-year or in response to climate warming, to initiate diapause. Thus, the relationship between climate change and voltinism could be complex. We use a phenology model for grape berry moth, Paralobesia viteana (Clemens), which incorporates temperature-dependent development and diapause termination, and photoperiod-dependent diapause induction, to explore historical patterns in year-to-year voltinism fluctuations. We then extend this model to predict voltinism under varying scenarios of climate change to show the importance of both the quality and quantity of accumulated heat units. We also illustrate that increases in mean surface temperatures > 2 °C can have dramatic effects on insect voltinism by causing a shift in the ovipositional period that currently is subject to diapause-inducing photoperiods.</abstract><cop>Oxford, UK</cop><pub>Oxford, UK : Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01561.x</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Global change biology, 2008-05, Vol.14 (5), p.951-957 |
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| subjects | Animal and plant ecology Animal, plant and microbial ecology Biological and medical sciences Butterflies & moths Climate change Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change diapause Earth, ocean, space Ecology Endopiza viteana Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology General aspects global warming heat sums insect development insect population dynamics Insects Meteorology multivoltine habit oviposition phenology phenology model photoperiod photoperiodism population dynamics prediction seasonal variation seasonality surface temperature Temperature voltinism |
| title | Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species |
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