Currency intervention: A case study of an emerging market

Using a unique dataset on daily foreign exchange intervention and a new methodological framework of a latent factor model of central bank intervention, this paper addresses the effects of intervention in an emerging market. Events in financial markets from 2002 to 2010 provide a natural experiment t...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of international money and finance 2013-10, Vol.37, p.25-47
Hauptverfasser: Fry-McKibbin, Renée A., Wanaguru, Sumila
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description Using a unique dataset on daily foreign exchange intervention and a new methodological framework of a latent factor model of central bank intervention, this paper addresses the effects of intervention in an emerging market. Events in financial markets from 2002 to 2010 provide a natural experiment to evaluate the short and medium term objectives of the central bank to contain excessive exchange rate volatility and to accumulate foreign reserves respectively. In the low volatility period in the first part of the sample, the central bank is successful in influencing the currency when pressure is to appreciate, accumulating international reserves. The same model estimated for the global volatility period in the second part of the sample shows the central bank intervening to mitigate excessive exchange rate volatility in line with the short-term objective. The results point to the need to consider the cross currency market interdependence between emerging markets when modeling intervention.
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subjects Bank regulation
Capital market
Central banks
Currencies
Currency intervention
Economic models
Economic theory
Emerging markets
Exchange rate volatility
Factor model
Foreign exchange intervention
Foreign exchange rates
Investment analysis
Personal finance
Reserve accumulation
Securities markets
Studies
Volatility
title Currency intervention: A case study of an emerging market
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