The complex stability of political equilibria

Stability in international and domestic politics may not depend on the existence of a unique equilibrium around which patterns of political behaviour can be coordinated. Instead, a complex stability may operate, based on a pattern of multiple simultaneous equilibria. This article explains how types...

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Veröffentlicht in:Political Science 2012-12, Vol.64 (2), p.145-161
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creator Ayson, Robert
description Stability in international and domestic politics may not depend on the existence of a unique equilibrium around which patterns of political behaviour can be coordinated. Instead, a complex stability may operate, based on a pattern of multiple simultaneous equilibria. This article explains how types of government, their foreign policy stances, the distribution of power between states, and international institutions can be regarded as four types of political equilibrium. With the help of findings from economics, game theory, biological sciences and complexity theory, it then examines the relevance of three successive levels of stability for these equilibrium types. The first level of stability refers to the preservation of a unique political equilibrium. The second refers to the capacity of the given political system to make a transition from one unique equilibrium to another. The third, complex stability, refers to patterns of oscillation between multiple simultaneous political equilibria. An attempt is also made to ameliorate the coordination problem which arises with multiple equilibria and comments are offered on the potential applications of these findings.
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subjects Balance of power
Bargaining theory
Complex organization
complexity
Coordination
Domestic affairs
Domestic Politics
Equilibrium
Equilibrium models
Evolutionary theory
Foreign Policy
Foreign policy foundations
Game Theory
Government structure
International organizations
International political economy
Multi-level governance
Policy co-ordination
Political behaviour
Political Power
Political stability
Political Systems
Politics, Practical
Preservation
Regime transition
Stability
title The complex stability of political equilibria
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