Accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrialfacilities
This paper describes an accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrial facilities. To better understand the characteristics of industrial accident data, the proposed accident occurrence model is based on a chemical reaction. The model introduces a defensive barrier, which corresponds...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Reliability engineering & system safety 2013-06, Vol.114, p.71-74 |
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| creator | Kasai, Naoya Matsuhashi, Shigemi Sekine, Kazuyoshi |
| description | This paper describes an accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrial facilities. To better understand the characteristics of industrial accident data, the proposed accident occurrence model is based on a chemical reaction. The model introduces a defensive barrier, which corresponds to the activation energy in a chemical reaction, to prevent an accident. Furthermore, the uncertainty factor in the defensive barrier is mathematically derived as a gamma distribution. The analytical results for the proposed accident occurrence model indicate a Pareto type II distribution, which is the same result found by using a risk curve. Therefore, the analytical model validates the effectiveness of analyzing industrial risk with a riskcurve.
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► An accident occurrence model based on chemical reaction was proposed. ► Uncertainty factor λ of the defensive barrier to prevent accidents was introduced. ► Accident data of the industrial facilities obey the Pareto type II distribution. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1016/j.ress.2013.01.004 |
| format | Article |
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► An accident occurrence model based on chemical reaction was proposed. ► Uncertainty factor λ of the defensive barrier to prevent accidents was introduced. ► Accident data of the industrial facilities obey the Pareto type II distribution.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0951-8320</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1879-0836</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.01.004</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Elsevier Ltd</publisher><subject>Arrhenius equation ; Gamma distribution ; Pareto type II distribution ; Risk analysis ; Risk curve</subject><ispartof>Reliability engineering & system safety, 2013-06, Vol.114, p.71-74</ispartof><rights>2013 Elsevier Ltd</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c248t-8cd0a0ba06f7506eae3fedb5e0d53fdc41769b5b6ca8bc30aeb12d352d4eee563</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c248t-8cd0a0ba06f7506eae3fedb5e0d53fdc41769b5b6ca8bc30aeb12d352d4eee563</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S095183201300015X$$EHTML$$P50$$Gelsevier$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,3537,27901,27902,65306</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kasai, Naoya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Matsuhashi, Shigemi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sekine, Kazuyoshi</creatorcontrib><title>Accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrialfacilities</title><title>Reliability engineering & system safety</title><description>This paper describes an accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrial facilities. To better understand the characteristics of industrial accident data, the proposed accident occurrence model is based on a chemical reaction. The model introduces a defensive barrier, which corresponds to the activation energy in a chemical reaction, to prevent an accident. Furthermore, the uncertainty factor in the defensive barrier is mathematically derived as a gamma distribution. The analytical results for the proposed accident occurrence model indicate a Pareto type II distribution, which is the same result found by using a risk curve. Therefore, the analytical model validates the effectiveness of analyzing industrial risk with a riskcurve.
[Display omitted]
► An accident occurrence model based on chemical reaction was proposed. ► Uncertainty factor λ of the defensive barrier to prevent accidents was introduced. ► Accident data of the industrial facilities obey the Pareto type II distribution.</description><subject>Arrhenius equation</subject><subject>Gamma distribution</subject><subject>Pareto type II distribution</subject><subject>Risk analysis</subject><subject>Risk curve</subject><issn>0951-8320</issn><issn>1879-0836</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2013</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kDFPwzAQRi0EEqXwB5g8siSc49hJJJaqgoJUiQVmy7EvwiWNiy9F4t-TqMxMt7z3SfcYuxWQCxD6fpcnJMoLEDIHkQOUZ2wh6qrJoJb6nC2gUSKrZQGX7IpoBxPRqGrBNivngsdh5NG5Y0o4OOT76LHnXUx8_ECeAn1yO9j-hwLx2PEw-CONKdi-sy70YQxI1-yisz3hzd9dsvenx7f1c7Z93bysV9vMFWU9ZrXzYKG1oLtKgUaLskPfKgSvZOddKSrdtKrVztatk2CxFYWXqvAlIiotl-zutHtI8euINJp9IId9bweMRzJCKt0UtdbNhBYn1KVIlLAzhxT2Nv0YAWauZnZmrmbmagaEmZpM0sNJwumJ74DJkAtzFB8SutH4GP7TfwFDbHfz</recordid><startdate>20130601</startdate><enddate>20130601</enddate><creator>Kasai, Naoya</creator><creator>Matsuhashi, Shigemi</creator><creator>Sekine, Kazuyoshi</creator><general>Elsevier Ltd</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T2</scope><scope>7U1</scope><scope>7U2</scope><scope>C1K</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20130601</creationdate><title>Accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrialfacilities</title><author>Kasai, Naoya ; Matsuhashi, Shigemi ; Sekine, Kazuyoshi</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c248t-8cd0a0ba06f7506eae3fedb5e0d53fdc41769b5b6ca8bc30aeb12d352d4eee563</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2013</creationdate><topic>Arrhenius equation</topic><topic>Gamma distribution</topic><topic>Pareto type II distribution</topic><topic>Risk analysis</topic><topic>Risk curve</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Kasai, Naoya</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Matsuhashi, Shigemi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sekine, Kazuyoshi</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Health and Safety Science Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Risk Abstracts</collection><collection>Safety Science and Risk</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><jtitle>Reliability engineering & system safety</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Kasai, Naoya</au><au>Matsuhashi, Shigemi</au><au>Sekine, Kazuyoshi</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrialfacilities</atitle><jtitle>Reliability engineering & system safety</jtitle><date>2013-06-01</date><risdate>2013</risdate><volume>114</volume><spage>71</spage><epage>74</epage><pages>71-74</pages><issn>0951-8320</issn><eissn>1879-0836</eissn><abstract>This paper describes an accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrial facilities. To better understand the characteristics of industrial accident data, the proposed accident occurrence model is based on a chemical reaction. The model introduces a defensive barrier, which corresponds to the activation energy in a chemical reaction, to prevent an accident. Furthermore, the uncertainty factor in the defensive barrier is mathematically derived as a gamma distribution. The analytical results for the proposed accident occurrence model indicate a Pareto type II distribution, which is the same result found by using a risk curve. Therefore, the analytical model validates the effectiveness of analyzing industrial risk with a riskcurve.
[Display omitted]
► An accident occurrence model based on chemical reaction was proposed. ► Uncertainty factor λ of the defensive barrier to prevent accidents was introduced. ► Accident data of the industrial facilities obey the Pareto type II distribution.</abstract><pub>Elsevier Ltd</pub><doi>10.1016/j.ress.2013.01.004</doi><tpages>4</tpages></addata></record> |
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| identifier | ISSN: 0951-8320 |
| ispartof | Reliability engineering & system safety, 2013-06, Vol.114, p.71-74 |
| issn | 0951-8320 1879-0836 |
| language | eng |
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| source | Elsevier ScienceDirect Journals Complete |
| subjects | Arrhenius equation Gamma distribution Pareto type II distribution Risk analysis Risk curve |
| title | Accident occurrence model for the risk analysis of industrialfacilities |
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