Effects of the infectious period distribution on predicted transitions in childhood disease dynamics

The population dynamics of infectious diseases occasionally undergo rapid qualitative changes, such as transitions from annual to biennial cycles or to irregular dynamics. Previous work, based on the standard seasonally forced ‘susceptible–exposed–infectious–removed’ (SEIR) model has found that tran...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Journal of the Royal Society interface 2013-07, Vol.10 (84), p.20130098-20130098
Hauptverfasser:	Krylova, Olga, Earn, David J. D.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Bifurcation Theory Child Generation Time Humans Incidence Measles - epidemiology Measles In New York City Models, Theoretical New York City - epidemiology Population Dynamics Seasonal Forcing Seasons SIR epidemic model Time Factors Waiting Time Distribution
Online-Zugang:	Volltext
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