EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA

Qualitative business survey data are used widely to provide indicators of economic activity ahead of the publication of official data. Traditional indicators exploit only aggregate survey information, namely the proportions of respondents who report 'up' and 'down'. This paper ex...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of applied econometrics (Chichester, England) England), 2013-06, Vol.28 (4), p.580-603
Hauptverfasser: Mitchell, James, Smith, Richard J., Weale, Martin R.
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Weale, Martin R.
description Qualitative business survey data are used widely to provide indicators of economic activity ahead of the publication of official data. Traditional indicators exploit only aggregate survey information, namely the proportions of respondents who report 'up' and 'down'. This paper examines disaggregate or firm-level survey responses. It considers how the responses of the individual firms should be quantified and combined if the aim is to produce an early indication of official output data. Having linked firms' categorical responses to official data using ordered discrete-choice models, the paper proposes a statistically efficient means of combining the disparate estimates of aggregate output growth which can be constructed from the responses of individual firms. An application to firm-level survey data from the Confederation of British Industry shows that the proposed indicator can provide early estimates of output growth more accurately than traditional indicators.
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source Jstor Complete Legacy; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete
subjects Decision making models
Econometrics
Economic activity
Economic indicators
Growth rate
Output rate
Polls & surveys
Qualitative analysis
Studies
Survey data
United Kingdom
title EFFICIENT AGGREGATION OF PANEL QUALITATIVE SURVEY DATA
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