A probability model and sampling algorithm for the inter-day stochastic traffic assignment problem

SUMMARY In this study, we consider that inter‐day traffic flow fluctuations in a network are caused by stochastic travel behavior. We treat route traffic flows at each time interval as random variables. Therefore, the solution of the stochastic assignment problem should be the conditional joint prob...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of advanced transportation 2012-07, Vol.46 (3), p.222-235
Hauptverfasser: Wei, Chong, Asakura, Yasuo, Iryo, Takamasa
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Iryo, Takamasa
description SUMMARY In this study, we consider that inter‐day traffic flow fluctuations in a network are caused by stochastic travel behavior. We treat route traffic flows at each time interval as random variables. Therefore, the solution of the stochastic assignment problem should be the conditional joint probability distribution of the route flows given that the network is in stochastic user equilibrium. We formulate the conditional joint distribution and develop a Gibbs sampler to draw samples from the conditional joint distribution. The characteristics of the route flows at each time interval during the time horizon can be estimated on the basis of the simulated samples. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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source Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; EZB-FREE-00999 freely available EZB journals
subjects Bayes' theorem
Computer networks
directed acyclic graph
Gibbs sampler
Intervals
Networks
Routing (telecommunications)
Sampling
stochastic user equilibrium
Stochasticity
Traffic flow
Transportation
title A probability model and sampling algorithm for the inter-day stochastic traffic assignment problem
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