False Discoveries in UK Mutual Fund Performance

We use a multiple hypothesis testing framework to estimate the false discovery rate (FDR) amongst UK equity mutual funds. Using all funds, we find a relatively high FDR for the best funds of 32.8% (at a 5% significance level), which implies that only around 3.7% of all funds truly outperform their b...

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Veröffentlicht in:European financial management : the journal of the European Financial Management Association 2012-06, Vol.18 (3), p.444-463
Hauptverfasser: Cuthbertson, Keith, Nitzsche, Dirk, O'Sullivan, Niall
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container_title European financial management : the journal of the European Financial Management Association
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creator Cuthbertson, Keith
Nitzsche, Dirk
O'Sullivan, Niall
description We use a multiple hypothesis testing framework to estimate the false discovery rate (FDR) amongst UK equity mutual funds. Using all funds, we find a relatively high FDR for the best funds of 32.8% (at a 5% significance level), which implies that only around 3.7% of all funds truly outperform their benchmarks. For the worst funds the FDR is relatively small at 7.6% which results in 22% of funds which truly underperform their benchmarks. For different investment styles, this pattern of very few genuine winner funds is repeated for all companies, small companies and equity income funds. Forming portfolios of funds recursively for which the FDR is controlled at a ‘acceptable’ value, produces no performance persistence for positive alpha funds and weak evidence of persistence for negative alpha funds.
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source EBSCOhost Business Source Complete; Wiley Online Library All Journals
subjects Benchmarking
Benchmarks
C14
C15
Equity
False discovery rate
Financial performance
G11
Hypothesis
Hypothesis testing
Income funds
Investment
Mutual fund performance
Mutual funds
Portfolio analysis
Return on investment
Securities markets
Studies
United Kingdom
title False Discoveries in UK Mutual Fund Performance
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