Agreeable trade with optimism and pessimism

In this paper we extend the results on ex-ante agreeable trade of Kajii and Ui [Kajii, A., Ui, T., 2006. Agreeable bets with multiple priors. Journal of Economic Theory 128, 299–305] to the case of non-convex Choquet preferences. We discuss the economic relevance of the main result for the existence...

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Veröffentlicht in:Mathematical social sciences 2012-09, Vol.64 (2), p.119-126
Hauptverfasser: Dominiak, Adam, Eichberger, Jürgen, Lefort, Jean-Philippe
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Lefort, Jean-Philippe
description In this paper we extend the results on ex-ante agreeable trade of Kajii and Ui [Kajii, A., Ui, T., 2006. Agreeable bets with multiple priors. Journal of Economic Theory 128, 299–305] to the case of non-convex Choquet preferences. We discuss the economic relevance of the main result for the existence of speculative trade under ambiguity. Following Haller [Haller, H., 1990. Non-market reopening, time-consistent plans and the structure of intertemporal preferences. Economics Letters 32, 1–5] we also elaborate the relevance of updating preferences upon arrival of public information for the potential of re-contracting initial contingent claims. ► It is shown that both optimism and pessimism are important for speculative trade. ► We assumed that traders have not-necessary convex Choquet preferences. ► Necessary and sufficient conditions for ex ante agreeable trade are provided. ► The role of updating non-additive beliefs in face of public information is elaborated. ► Under the Full-Bayesian updating rule there will be no interim agreeable trade.
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subjects Economic theory
Game theory
Optimism
Pessimism
Preferences
Trade agreements
title Agreeable trade with optimism and pessimism
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