Using the NARMAX OLS-ERR algorithm to obtain the most influential coupling functions that affect the evolution of the magnetosphere

The NARMAX OLS‐ERR algorithm, which is widely used in the study of systems dynamics, is able to determine the causal relationship between the input and output variables for nonlinear systems. This technique has been applied to measurements of the solar wind from ACE at L1 and the Dst index in order...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics 2011-05, Vol.116 (A5), p.n/a
Hauptverfasser: Boynton, R. J., Balikhin, M. A., Billings, S. A., Wei, H. L., Ganushkina, N.
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container_issue A5
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container_title Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics
container_volume 116
creator Boynton, R. J.
Balikhin, M. A.
Billings, S. A.
Wei, H. L.
Ganushkina, N.
description The NARMAX OLS‐ERR algorithm, which is widely used in the study of systems dynamics, is able to determine the causal relationship between the input and output variables for nonlinear systems. This technique has been applied to measurements of the solar wind from ACE at L1 and the Dst index in order to find the best solar wind–magnetosphere coupling function, i.e., which combination of solar wind parameters provides the best predictive capabilities of the Dst index. The data‐deduced coupling functions were then compared to those suggested in previous analytical and data‐based studies. The most appropriate coupling function was found to be n1/2VαBT sin6(θ/2), where the power of velocity, α, was inconclusive but should be in the range 2–3. Key Points To identify a solar wind‐magnetosphere coupling function from data
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source Wiley Free Content; Wiley-Blackwell AGU Digital Library; Wiley Online Library Journals Frontfile Complete; Alma/SFX Local Collection
subjects Algorithms
Atmospheric sciences
Charged particles
Magnetism
Plasma physics
Saturn
solar wind-magnetosphere coupling
Space
Weather
title Using the NARMAX OLS-ERR algorithm to obtain the most influential coupling functions that affect the evolution of the magnetosphere
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