Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties
The application of pest risk analysis (PRA) decision‐support schemes, such as that used by the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO), generates many ratings for likelihood or magnitude of risk factors, each with an associated uncertainty. In accordance with the internationa...
Gespeichert in:
Veröffentlicht in: | Bulletin OEPP 2012-04, Vol.42 (1), p.35-41 |
---|---|
Hauptverfasser: | , , , , , , , |
Format: | Artikel |
Sprache: | eng |
Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
container_end_page | 41 |
---|---|
container_issue | 1 |
container_start_page | 35 |
container_title | Bulletin OEPP |
container_volume | 42 |
creator | Holt, J. Leach, A. W. Knight, J. D. Griessinger, D. MacLeod, A. van der Gaag, D. J. Schrader, G. Mumford, J. D. |
description | The application of pest risk analysis (PRA) decision‐support schemes, such as that used by the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO), generates many ratings for likelihood or magnitude of risk factors, each with an associated uncertainty. In accordance with the international standard ISPM 11 (FAO, 2004), questions have been devised to assess the key elements of pest risk in the four main sections of pest risk assessment: Entry, Establishment, Spread and Impact. After completing each section, risk assessors are required to give a summary rating and an uncertainty score for that section. The large number of question ratings and uncertainty scores make the task of summarizing each section and its uncertainty quite difficult. Two graphical tools have been developed to aid this task: the PRA Risk score and uncertainty visualizer (Visualizer) and the Rule‐based matrix model (RBMM). The Visualizer presents a case summary graph on a single page in such a way that the risk assessors and peer reviewers can see rating scores and uncertainties in a pictorial manner; the RBMM integrates all the individual questions in the assessment through a hierarchy of rules that attempt to mimic the logic used by the assessors and are arranged in the form of a flow chart to give an overall rating with an accompanying expression of uncertainty. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1365-2338.2012.02548.x |
format | Article |
fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1017962127</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>1017962127</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2998-ffbf667924d32f7fd5170e756a90c904a167ad6d80fd0c6d4d8cb6920795f7523</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqNkEFPwjAUxxujiYh-hx29bLbd2m4HDwYVTRA5oCRemrK1pDA27NsU_PR2YDjbS_v6_r-Xlx9CAcER8edmGZGYs5DGcRpRTGiEKUvSaHuCesfGKer5XxymmNFzdAGwxBjzVCQ9NJ3WdQmBqV3wZaFVpf2x1SJQVRHYqtELp5qu3mhoAmdhFSgADbDWla_3PdiH2yrXrlGesRou0ZlRJeirv7uP3h4fpoOncPQ6fB7cjcKcZlkaGjM3nIuMJkVMjTAFIwJrwbjKcJ7hRBEuVMGLFJsC57xIijSf84xikTEjGI376Powd-Pqz9avKNcWcl2WqtJ1C5JgIjJOCRU-mh6iuasBnDZy4-xauZ0PyU6kXMrOl-x8yU6k3IuUW4_eHtBvW-rdvzn5MJl0L8-HB95Co7dHXrmV5CIWTM7GQ3n_8jF-n7HYz_kF2BCJuQ</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>1017962127</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties</title><source>Wiley Journals</source><creator>Holt, J. ; Leach, A. W. ; Knight, J. D. ; Griessinger, D. ; MacLeod, A. ; van der Gaag, D. J. ; Schrader, G. ; Mumford, J. D.</creator><creatorcontrib>Holt, J. ; Leach, A. W. ; Knight, J. D. ; Griessinger, D. ; MacLeod, A. ; van der Gaag, D. J. ; Schrader, G. ; Mumford, J. D.</creatorcontrib><description>The application of pest risk analysis (PRA) decision‐support schemes, such as that used by the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO), generates many ratings for likelihood or magnitude of risk factors, each with an associated uncertainty. In accordance with the international standard ISPM 11 (FAO, 2004), questions have been devised to assess the key elements of pest risk in the four main sections of pest risk assessment: Entry, Establishment, Spread and Impact. After completing each section, risk assessors are required to give a summary rating and an uncertainty score for that section. The large number of question ratings and uncertainty scores make the task of summarizing each section and its uncertainty quite difficult. Two graphical tools have been developed to aid this task: the PRA Risk score and uncertainty visualizer (Visualizer) and the Rule‐based matrix model (RBMM). The Visualizer presents a case summary graph on a single page in such a way that the risk assessors and peer reviewers can see rating scores and uncertainties in a pictorial manner; the RBMM integrates all the individual questions in the assessment through a hierarchy of rules that attempt to mimic the logic used by the assessors and are arranged in the form of a flow chart to give an overall rating with an accompanying expression of uncertainty.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0250-8052</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1365-2338</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2338.2012.02548.x</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford, UK: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><ispartof>Bulletin OEPP, 2012-04, Vol.42 (1), p.35-41</ispartof><rights>2012 The authors. Journal compilation © 2012 OEPP/EPPO</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2998-ffbf667924d32f7fd5170e756a90c904a167ad6d80fd0c6d4d8cb6920795f7523</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2998-ffbf667924d32f7fd5170e756a90c904a167ad6d80fd0c6d4d8cb6920795f7523</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2338.2012.02548.x$$EPDF$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111%2Fj.1365-2338.2012.02548.x$$EHTML$$P50$$Gwiley$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,1417,27924,27925,45574,45575</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Holt, J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leach, A. W.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Knight, J. D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Griessinger, D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>MacLeod, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van der Gaag, D. J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schrader, G.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mumford, J. D.</creatorcontrib><title>Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties</title><title>Bulletin OEPP</title><description>The application of pest risk analysis (PRA) decision‐support schemes, such as that used by the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO), generates many ratings for likelihood or magnitude of risk factors, each with an associated uncertainty. In accordance with the international standard ISPM 11 (FAO, 2004), questions have been devised to assess the key elements of pest risk in the four main sections of pest risk assessment: Entry, Establishment, Spread and Impact. After completing each section, risk assessors are required to give a summary rating and an uncertainty score for that section. The large number of question ratings and uncertainty scores make the task of summarizing each section and its uncertainty quite difficult. Two graphical tools have been developed to aid this task: the PRA Risk score and uncertainty visualizer (Visualizer) and the Rule‐based matrix model (RBMM). The Visualizer presents a case summary graph on a single page in such a way that the risk assessors and peer reviewers can see rating scores and uncertainties in a pictorial manner; the RBMM integrates all the individual questions in the assessment through a hierarchy of rules that attempt to mimic the logic used by the assessors and are arranged in the form of a flow chart to give an overall rating with an accompanying expression of uncertainty.</description><issn>0250-8052</issn><issn>1365-2338</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2012</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNqNkEFPwjAUxxujiYh-hx29bLbd2m4HDwYVTRA5oCRemrK1pDA27NsU_PR2YDjbS_v6_r-Xlx9CAcER8edmGZGYs5DGcRpRTGiEKUvSaHuCesfGKer5XxymmNFzdAGwxBjzVCQ9NJ3WdQmBqV3wZaFVpf2x1SJQVRHYqtELp5qu3mhoAmdhFSgADbDWla_3PdiH2yrXrlGesRou0ZlRJeirv7uP3h4fpoOncPQ6fB7cjcKcZlkaGjM3nIuMJkVMjTAFIwJrwbjKcJ7hRBEuVMGLFJsC57xIijSf84xikTEjGI376Powd-Pqz9avKNcWcl2WqtJ1C5JgIjJOCRU-mh6iuasBnDZy4-xauZ0PyU6kXMrOl-x8yU6k3IuUW4_eHtBvW-rdvzn5MJl0L8-HB95Co7dHXrmV5CIWTM7GQ3n_8jF-n7HYz_kF2BCJuQ</recordid><startdate>201204</startdate><enddate>201204</enddate><creator>Holt, J.</creator><creator>Leach, A. W.</creator><creator>Knight, J. D.</creator><creator>Griessinger, D.</creator><creator>MacLeod, A.</creator><creator>van der Gaag, D. J.</creator><creator>Schrader, G.</creator><creator>Mumford, J. D.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7U1</scope><scope>7U2</scope><scope>7UA</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>SOI</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201204</creationdate><title>Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties</title><author>Holt, J. ; Leach, A. W. ; Knight, J. D. ; Griessinger, D. ; MacLeod, A. ; van der Gaag, D. J. ; Schrader, G. ; Mumford, J. D.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2998-ffbf667924d32f7fd5170e756a90c904a167ad6d80fd0c6d4d8cb6920795f7523</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2012</creationdate><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Holt, J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Leach, A. W.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Knight, J. D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Griessinger, D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>MacLeod, A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>van der Gaag, D. J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schrader, G.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mumford, J. D.</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Risk Abstracts</collection><collection>Safety Science and Risk</collection><collection>Water Resources Abstracts</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><jtitle>Bulletin OEPP</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Holt, J.</au><au>Leach, A. W.</au><au>Knight, J. D.</au><au>Griessinger, D.</au><au>MacLeod, A.</au><au>van der Gaag, D. J.</au><au>Schrader, G.</au><au>Mumford, J. D.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties</atitle><jtitle>Bulletin OEPP</jtitle><date>2012-04</date><risdate>2012</risdate><volume>42</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>35</spage><epage>41</epage><pages>35-41</pages><issn>0250-8052</issn><eissn>1365-2338</eissn><abstract>The application of pest risk analysis (PRA) decision‐support schemes, such as that used by the European and Mediterranean Plant Protection Organization (EPPO), generates many ratings for likelihood or magnitude of risk factors, each with an associated uncertainty. In accordance with the international standard ISPM 11 (FAO, 2004), questions have been devised to assess the key elements of pest risk in the four main sections of pest risk assessment: Entry, Establishment, Spread and Impact. After completing each section, risk assessors are required to give a summary rating and an uncertainty score for that section. The large number of question ratings and uncertainty scores make the task of summarizing each section and its uncertainty quite difficult. Two graphical tools have been developed to aid this task: the PRA Risk score and uncertainty visualizer (Visualizer) and the Rule‐based matrix model (RBMM). The Visualizer presents a case summary graph on a single page in such a way that the risk assessors and peer reviewers can see rating scores and uncertainties in a pictorial manner; the RBMM integrates all the individual questions in the assessment through a hierarchy of rules that attempt to mimic the logic used by the assessors and are arranged in the form of a flow chart to give an overall rating with an accompanying expression of uncertainty.</abstract><cop>Oxford, UK</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><doi>10.1111/j.1365-2338.2012.02548.x</doi><tpages>7</tpages></addata></record> |
fulltext | fulltext |
identifier | ISSN: 0250-8052 |
ispartof | Bulletin OEPP, 2012-04, Vol.42 (1), p.35-41 |
issn | 0250-8052 1365-2338 |
language | eng |
recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_1017962127 |
source | Wiley Journals |
title | Tools for visualizing and integrating pest risk assessment ratings and uncertainties |
url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-24T03%3A26%3A58IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Tools%20for%20visualizing%20and%20integrating%20pest%20risk%20assessment%20ratings%20and%20uncertainties&rft.jtitle=Bulletin%20OEPP&rft.au=Holt,%20J.&rft.date=2012-04&rft.volume=42&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=35&rft.epage=41&rft.pages=35-41&rft.issn=0250-8052&rft.eissn=1365-2338&rft_id=info:doi/10.1111/j.1365-2338.2012.02548.x&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E1017962127%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1017962127&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true |