Plant extinction risk under climate change: are forecast range shifts alone a good indicator of species vulnerability to global warming?

Models that couple habitat suitability with demographic processes offer a potentially improved approach for estimating spatial distributional shifts and extinction risk under climate change. Applying such an approach to five species of Australian plants with contrasting demographic traits, we show t...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Global change biology 2012-04, Vol.18 (4), p.1357-1371
Hauptverfasser:	Fordham, Damien A., Resit Akçakaya, H., Araújo, Miguel B., Elith, Jane, Keith, David A., Pearson, Richard, Auld, Tony D., Mellin, Camille, Morgan, John W., Regan, Tracey J., Tozer, Mark, Watts, Michael J., White, Matthew, Wintle, Brendan A., Yates, Colin, Brook, Barry W.
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	abundance Animal and plant ecology Animal, plant and microbial ecology bioclimate envelope Biodiversity Biological and medical sciences Climate change Climatology. Bioclimatology. Climate change connectivity coupled niche-population model Dispersal Earth, ocean, space Endangered & extinct species Exact sciences and technology External geophysics Extinction Flowers & plants Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology General aspects habitat suitability mechanistic model metapopulation Meteorology population viability analysis species distribution model
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