Operating procedures and the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates: the New Zealand experience from 1989 to 2008

The operating procedure of a central bank influences in no small measure whether the behaviour of interest rates is consistent with the Expectations Hypothesis (EH). In New Zealand, the predictive content of the term spread improves markedly in the wake of the switch from a quantity-based to a price...

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Veröffentlicht in:Applied financial economics 2012-07, Vol.22 (14), p.1181-1192
Hauptverfasser: Guender, Alfred V., Wu, Allan G. J.
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description The operating procedure of a central bank influences in no small measure whether the behaviour of interest rates is consistent with the Expectations Hypothesis (EH). In New Zealand, the predictive content of the term spread improves markedly in the wake of the switch from a quantity-based to a price-based operating procedure in March 1999. The Official Cash Rate (OCR) system has made it easier for market participants to understand the day-to-day conduct of monetary policy. As a result, market interest rates have become more predictable, thereby contributing to the success of the EH in explaining the behaviour of yields on short-dated financial instruments.
doi_str_mv 10.1080/09603107.2011.641925
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source RePEc; Business Source Complete
subjects Capital market
Central banks
Economic theory
expectations theory
Financial economics
Interest rates
Market theory
Monetary policy
New Zealand
operating procedure
predictability of interest rates
Spread
Studies
Yield
title Operating procedures and the expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates: the New Zealand experience from 1989 to 2008
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